Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ORLENE-22
in Mexico
01 Oct 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ORLENE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 115 km/h 0.2 m 124 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 0.4 m 539 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

158 km/h

Up to 90 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico87,704 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Sep 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Sep 2022 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 29 Sep 2022 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 30 Sep 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 30 Sep 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 30 Sep 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 30 Sep 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Oct 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Oct 2022 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Oct 2022 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 01 Oct 2022 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala253,790
+
Mexico5,121 
Guatemala248,668 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, El Salvador5,636,780
+
Mexico3,150,854 
Guatemala2,397,463 
El Salvador88,462 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Sep 2022 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Sep 2022 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 29 Sep 2022 18:00 80 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 30 Sep 2022 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 30 Sep 2022 06:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 30 Sep 2022 12:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 30 Sep 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Oct 2022 00:00 102 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Oct 2022 06:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Oct 2022 12:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 01 Oct 2022 18:00 430 250 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Oct 2022 00:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 00:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 00:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 00:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
02 Oct 2022 00:00 City Arroyo United States  0.2
02 Oct 2022 00:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.2
02 Oct 2022 00:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.2
02 Oct 2022 00:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Stinson Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Muir Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Mill Valley United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Almonte United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Marin City United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Strawberry United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Corte Madera United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Sunset District United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Sausalito United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Edgemar United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Broadmoor United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Stonestown United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Pacifica United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Richmond District United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Daly City United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Westborough United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Tiburon United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Belvedere United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Colma United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Baden United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Little Osaka United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 San Bruno United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 San Francisco United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Bayshore United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 South San Francisco United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 North Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Tanforan United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Millbrae United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Brisbane United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Bayview District United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 00:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 00:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
02 Oct 2022 00:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:00 Woodville United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:00 Bolinas United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:00 Kentfield United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:00 Terra Linda United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:00 Marinwood United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:00 Larkspur United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:00 Green Brae United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:00 Gallinas United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:00 Santa Venetia United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:00 San Quentin United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Tangair United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Narlon United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Callender United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Erendria Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:45 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Shelter Cove United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Montara United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Burlingame United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Hillsborough United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Moss Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Princeton United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 El Granada United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Miramar United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Half Moon Bay United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Azure Vista United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Mission Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Roseville United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Loma Portal United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 San Diego United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Coronado United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Boal United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Accent Homes Mobile Home Park United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Martins Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Tunitas United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 San Gregorio United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Port San Luis United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Avila Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Sycamore Springs United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Pismo Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Oceano United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Grover City United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Buena Vista United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Holly Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Port Isabel United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 South Padre Island United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Boca Chica United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:30 Elk United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:30 Flumeville United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:30 Stronetta United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:30 Point Arena United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:30 Manchester United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:30 Iverson Indian Rancheria United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:30 Gallaway United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:15 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:15 San Pedro United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:15 Wilmington United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:15 Signal Hill United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:15 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:15 Surfside United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:15 Seal Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:15 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Stewarts Point United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Plantation United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Walsh Landing United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Fort Ross United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Seaview United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Toners Place United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Jenner United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Bridgehaven United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 23:30 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Caspar United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Noyo United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Fort Bragg United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Mendocino United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Little River United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 22:15 Albion United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:00 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:00 Newport Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:00 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:00 Bay Shores United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:00 Balboa United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 North Beach United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Gardendale United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Doyle United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Portland United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 20:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 19:00 Lairds Landing United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 18:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Montecito United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Summerland United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Serena Park United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Carpinteria United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Rincon United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Shepards United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Punta United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Faria United States  0.1
01 Oct 2022 21:00 Dulah United States  0.1