Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ORLENE-22
in Mexico
29 Sep 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ORLENE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (29 Sep 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.3 m 140 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 0.4 m 539 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

158 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States03 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - United States
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico39,896 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, El Salvador927,507
+
Mexico258,957 
Guatemala628,624 
El Salvador39,925 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Sep 2022 00:00 486 40 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Progreso, Mexico. This height is estimated for 29 Sep 2022 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Sep 2022 04:00 Progreso Mexico  0.3
29 Sep 2022 04:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 03:30 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 03:45 Chelem Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 03:45 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:00 Noham Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:30 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:30 Chenkan Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:00 Sisal Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 03:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 05:00 Guerrero Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 05:00 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 05:00 Celestum Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 01:30 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 01:30 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 01:30 Conejo Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 02:30 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 02:45 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Victoria Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Balchacah Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 02:30 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 05:15 Champoton Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:00 Port Isabel United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:00 South Padre Island United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:00 Boca Chica United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 03:00 Happy Jack United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 03:00 Potash United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 03:00 Hesperides United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 03:00 Nairn United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 03:00 Empire United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 05:30 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:45 Martello Castle United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:45 Shell Beach United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:45 Alluvial City United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:45 Yscloskey United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:45 Hopedale United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 04:45 Saint Malo United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 02:15 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:30 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 02:30 Tonala Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 02:15 Cypremort Point United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 02:15 Louisa United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 02:15 Ivanhoe United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 02:15 Cote Blanche Landing United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 02:15 Freetown United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 02:15 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Summerland United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Serena Park United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Carpinteria United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Rincon United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Shepards United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Punta United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Faria United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Dulah United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Ventura United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:15 Port Morris United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:15 Sea Isle United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:15 Hitchcock United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Montecito United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 04:45 Chef Menteur United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 04:45 Greens Ditch United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 04:45 Lake Catherine United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 03:00 Frenier United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 03:00 Ruddock United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 03:00 La Branche United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 03:00 Kenner United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 03:00 Metairie United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Mission United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:30 City Arroyo United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:30 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:30 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 03:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 03:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 03:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 02:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 01:15 Oxnard United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 05:30 Campeche Mexico  0.1