Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ORLENE-22
in Mexico
30 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ORLENE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (30 Sep 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 90 km/h 0.2 m 87 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 0.4 m 539 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

158 km/h

Up to 100 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico97,421 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Sep 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Sep 2022 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 29 Sep 2022 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 30 Sep 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 30 Sep 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 30 Sep 2022 12:00 162 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico474,818 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, El Salvador4,840,749
+
Mexico2,369,413 
Guatemala2,017,396 
El Salvador453,940 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Sep 2022 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Sep 2022 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 29 Sep 2022 18:00 80 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 30 Sep 2022 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 30 Sep 2022 06:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 30 Sep 2022 12:00 544 470 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Bayview, United States. This height is estimated for 30 Sep 2022 12:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Bayview United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Bacliff United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Nadeau United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:30 San Leon United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Texas City United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Virginia Point United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Galveston United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Fort Travis United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Flake United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Smith Point United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 13:45 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 13:45 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 13:45 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 13:45 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 13:45 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 La Choya Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 13:30 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 13:30 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Elmgrove United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Patton United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Caplen United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 15:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 15:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 15:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 15:15 Indianola United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 15:15 Olivia United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 15:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 15:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 15:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 15:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 18:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 18:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 High Island United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 18:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 17:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Sabine United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Red Bluff United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Seabrook United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 14:15 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Quintana United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Surfside United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Mims United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Constance Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 18:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 18:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 13:45 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 17:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 17:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 17:45 Surfside United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 17:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 17:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 17:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 17:45 Newport Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 17:45 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 17:45 Bay Shores United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 17:45 Balboa United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Freeport United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 15:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 14:30 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 14:30 Palacios United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 17:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 18:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 18:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Matagorda United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:30 Chinquapin United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 18:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 18:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 13:45 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 13:45 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 13:45 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
30 Sep 2022 13:45 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
30 Sep 2022 13:45 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1