Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ORLENE-22
in Mexico
29 Sep 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ORLENE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (29 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.2 m 203 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 0.4 m 539 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

158 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Sep 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Sep 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, El Salvador1,295,791
+
Mexico241,067 
Guatemala1,045,501 
El Salvador9,221 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Sep 2022 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Sep 2022 06:00 561 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Ciudad del Carmen, Mexico. This height is estimated for 29 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 06:30 Victoria Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 06:30 Balchacah Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Progreso Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Bayview United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Bacliff United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Nadeau United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 San Leon United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Texas City United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Virginia Point United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Galveston United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Smith Point United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Fort Travis United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Flake United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Elmgrove United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Patton United States  0.2
29 Sep 2022 10:15 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Caplen United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 09:30 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 09:30 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 09:30 Conejo Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Champoton Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 High Island United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 08:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Martello Castle United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Shell Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Alluvial City United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Yscloskey United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Hopedale United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Saint Malo United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Sabine United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 12:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:30 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:30 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 10:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 10:00 Cameron United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 10:00 Oak Grove United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 11:45 Quintana United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 11:45 Surfside United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 11:45 Mims United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 11:45 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 08:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 08:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:30 Frenier United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:30 Ruddock United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:30 La Branche United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:30 Kenner United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:30 Metairie United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:45 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 08:00 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 10:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 11:30 Constance Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 11:30 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Noham Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 11:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 11:45 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 11:45 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 11:45 Freeport United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 08:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 10:45 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Stinson Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Muir Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Mill Valley United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Almonte United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Marin City United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Strawberry United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Corte Madera United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Sunset District United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Rockaway Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Sausalito United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Edgemar United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Broadmoor United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Stonestown United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Pacifica United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Richmond District United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Daly City United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Westborough United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Tiburon United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Belvedere United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Colma United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Baden United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Little Osaka United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 San Bruno United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 San Francisco United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Bayshore United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 South San Francisco United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 North Beach United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Tanforan United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Millbrae United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Brisbane United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Bayview District United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 10:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 11:30 Gulf Park United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:45 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:45 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Palacios United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Woodville United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Bolinas United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Kentfield United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Larkspur United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 Green Brae United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:15 San Quentin United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 08:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 08:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:15 Oak Ridge Park United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:15 West End United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:15 Lakeview United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:15 Lake Terrace United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 10:45 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 10:45 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
29 Sep 2022 10:45 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
29 Sep 2022 10:45 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
29 Sep 2022 10:45 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:45 Indianola United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:45 Olivia United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
29 Sep 2022 09:00 La Choya Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 09:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 08:00 Tonala Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:45 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 06:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
29 Sep 2022 07:00 Campeche Mexico  0.1