Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ORLENE-22
in Mexico
30 Sep 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ORLENE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (30 Sep 09:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 108 km/h 0.2 m 107 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 0.4 m 539 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

158 km/h

Up to 130 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico127,824 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Sep 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Sep 2022 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 29 Sep 2022 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 30 Sep 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 30 Sep 2022 06:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico1,050,678 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala3,829,356
+
Mexico1,639,378 
Guatemala2,189,978 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Sep 2022 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Sep 2022 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 29 Sep 2022 12:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 29 Sep 2022 18:00 80 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 30 Sep 2022 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 30 Sep 2022 06:00 448 1.1 million
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 Sep 2022 09:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Sep 2022 09:30 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Bayview United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Bacliff United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Nadeau United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 San Leon United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Texas City United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Virginia Point United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Galveston United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Fort Travis United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 12:00 Flake United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 09:30 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:00 Smith Point United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:00 Elmgrove United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:00 Patton United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:00 Caplen United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:00 Gilchrist United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:15 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:15 Constance Beach United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:15 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:15 Holly Beach United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:15 Cameron United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:00 Sabine United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 09:30 Oak Grove United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 09:45 High Island United States  0.2
30 Sep 2022 10:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
30 Sep 2022 07:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 07:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:45 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:45 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:45 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:45 San Pedro Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:45 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:45 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:30 Acajutla El Salvador  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:30 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 San Jose Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:15 Sea Isle United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:15 Hitchcock United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:45 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:45 Port Morris United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:15 La Choya Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 La Avellana Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 Agua Dulce Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 Astillero Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 09:30 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:30 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 Acachapa El Salvador  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:15 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:15 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 Hacienda Taquillo El Salvador  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:30 Quintana United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:30 Surfside United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:30 Mims United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:30 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 El Nispero El Salvador  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Victoria Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Balchacah Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 07:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:30 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 09:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 09:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 09:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 09:15 Indianola United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 09:15 Olivia United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 09:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 09:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 09:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 09:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:30 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:30 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:30 Freeport United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:30 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:45 Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:45 La Candelaria Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:45 El Pumpo Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:45 Red Bluff United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:45 Seabrook United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:00 Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 10:30 Gulf Park United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 07:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:30 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 11:30 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
30 Sep 2022 07:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 07:00 Palacios United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 08:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Estes United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Rockport United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Fulton United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Matagorda United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Simpsonville United States  0.1
30 Sep 2022 06:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1