Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
18 Sep 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (18 Sep 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 86 km/h 0.6 m 181 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 169 km/h 1.9 m 496 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

169 km/h

Up to 960 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTurks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.959,474
+
Turks and Caicos Islands6,185 
Dominican Republic139,256 
Puerto Rico811,352 
Virgin Islands, U.S.2,679 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 5 16 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 6 16 Sep 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat
GREEN 8 17 Sep 2022 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius
GREEN 9 18 Sep 2022 00:00 155 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmPuerto Rico98,824 
250-500 mmPuerto Rico1,570,196 
100-250 mmCanada, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Venezuela, Colombia, Panama4,108,624
+
Canada315,108 
Dominican Republic1,450,283 
British Virgin Islands1,336 
Puerto Rico2,014,217 
Virgin Islands, U.S.106,290 
Venezuela14,724 
Colombia206,657 
Panama06 
50-100 mmCanada, United States, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Venezuela, Colombia, Panama12,425,087
+
Canada4,313,642 
United States853,886 
Turks and Caicos Islands5,068 
Dominican Republic3,312,158 
British Virgin Islands28,780 
Venezuela786,490 
Colombia2,919,787 
Panama205,272 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 66 -
- - - - - Canada, United States
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 82 -
- - - - - Canada, United States
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 12:00 197 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 5 16 Sep 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Sep 2022 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Sep 2022 00:00 361 390 thousand
- - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
Blue 8 17 Sep 2022 12:00 125 -
- - - - - Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Panama
Blue 9 18 Sep 2022 00:00 653 5.8 million
- - Canada, United States, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Venezuela, Colombia, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC