Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for FIONA-22 in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico from 14 Sep 2022 15:00 UTC to 24 Sep 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22

in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Canada, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	76 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (15 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	76 km/h	0.9 m	135 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	169 km/h	1.9 m	496 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

169 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Canada, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba	29,876	+
	Canada	26,283
	Virgin Islands, U.S.	1,579
	Saba	2,013

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Sep 2022 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Colombia	9,606	+
	Antigua and Barbuda	788
	Guadeloupe	4,684
	Colombia	4,133
50-100 mm	Canada, United States, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., British Virgin Islands, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Venezuela, Colombia, Panama	1,944,832	+
	Canada	13,024
	United States	302,985
	Puerto Rico	181,088
	Virgin Islands, U.S.	35,430
	British Virgin Islands	13
	Anguilla	11,531
	Saint-Martin	41,651
	Sint Maarten	39,623
	Saint-Barthélemy	635
	Saba	2,013
	Saint Eustatius	4,449
	Saint Kitts and Nevis	55,571
	Antigua and Barbuda	27,999
	Montserrat	5,124
	Guadeloupe	410,795
	Venezuela	77,046
	Colombia	622,494
	Panama	113,351

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 00:00	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	Canada, United States
2	14 Sep 2022 12:00	82	-	-	-	-	-	-	Canada, United States
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	240	10 thousand		-	-	-	-	Canada, United States, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., British Virgin Islands, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Venezuela, Colombia, Panama

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.9 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.