Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for FIONA-22 in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico from 14 Sep 2022 15:00 UTC to 24 Sep 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22

in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Cuba, Cayman Islands
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	140 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.9 m (24 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	140 km/h	1.9 m	149 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	169 km/h	1.9 m	496 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Cuba, Cayman Islands	309,410	+
	Canada	256,976
	Saint Pierre and Miquelon	6,288
	Cuba	779
	Cayman Islands	45,366

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Sep 2022 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
4	15 Sep 2022 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
5	16 Sep 2022 00:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
6	16 Sep 2022 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Sep 2022 00:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat
8	17 Sep 2022 12:00	72	-		-	-	-	-	-	Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius
9	18 Sep 2022 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
10	18 Sep 2022 12:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
11	19 Sep 2022 00:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
12	19 Sep 2022 12:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
13	20 Sep 2022 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
14	20 Sep 2022 12:00	148	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
15	21 Sep 2022 00:00	173	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
16	21 Sep 2022 12:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	22 Sep 2022 00:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	22 Sep 2022 12:00	191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	23 Sep 2022 00:00	205	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Bermuda
20	23 Sep 2022 12:00	238	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bermuda
21	24 Sep 2022 00:00	191	Few people		-		-	-	-	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
22	24 Sep 2022 12:00	140	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Cuba, Cayman Islands

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

496 mm

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Cuba, Cayman Islands, Haiti, Venezuela	49,504	+
	Cuba	779
	Cayman Islands	48,347
	Haiti	58
	Venezuela	318
50-100 mm	Canada, United States, Cuba, Cayman Islands, Haiti, Jamaica, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama	3,341,370	+
	Canada	42,718
	United States	301,523
	Cuba	147,383
	Cayman Islands	11,619
	Haiti	568,596
	Jamaica	792,759
	Colombia	797,334
	Venezuela	674,755
	Panama	4,679

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 00:00	66	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, United States
2	14 Sep 2022 12:00	82	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, United States
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	135	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Sep 2022 12:00	197	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States
5	16 Sep 2022 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	16 Sep 2022 12:00	114	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Sep 2022 00:00	361	390 thousand				-	-	-	Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
8	17 Sep 2022 12:00	125	-		-	-	-	-	-	Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Panama
9	18 Sep 2022 00:00	181	6 thousand			-	-	-	-	Canada, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
10	18 Sep 2022 12:00	316	1.6 million				-	-	-	Canada, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Panama
11	19 Sep 2022 00:00	229	300 thousand			-	-	-	-	Canada, United States, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Venezuela
12	19 Sep 2022 12:00	170	60 thousand			-	-	-	-	United States, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
13	20 Sep 2022 00:00	226	5 thousand			-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
14	20 Sep 2022 12:00	358	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands, Panama
15	21 Sep 2022 00:00	294	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	21 Sep 2022 12:00	211	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	22 Sep 2022 00:00	183	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Venezuela, Colombia
18	22 Sep 2022 12:00	186	Few people			-	-	-	-	Canada, United States
19	23 Sep 2022 00:00	225	-		-	-	-	-	-	Curaçao, Bonaire
20	23 Sep 2022 12:00	209	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
21	24 Sep 2022 00:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
22	24 Sep 2022 12:00	229	50 thousand			-	-	-	-	Canada, United States, Cuba, Cayman Islands, Haiti, Jamaica, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.9 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.