Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
21 Sep 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Bermuda, Turks and Caicos Islands
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 173 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (21 Sep 06:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 173 km/h 0.5 m 294 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 169 km/h 1.9 m 496 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBermuda, Turks and Caicos Islands96,342
+
Bermuda62,003 
Turks and Caicos Islands34,338 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 5 16 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 6 16 Sep 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat
GREEN 8 17 Sep 2022 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius
GREEN 9 18 Sep 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 10 18 Sep 2022 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 11 19 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 12 19 Sep 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 13 20 Sep 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 14 20 Sep 2022 12:00 148 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 15 21 Sep 2022 00:00 220 -
- - - - - Bermuda, Turks and Caicos Islands
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

496 mm

Up to 220 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmCanada, Colombia, Venezuela221,697
+
Canada76,743 
Colombia144,636 
Venezuela316 
50-100 mmCanada, United States, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Trinidad and Tobago, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama4,433,375
+
Canada253,835 
United States139,091 
Bahamas293 
Turks and Caicos Islands7,747 
Dominican Republic49,650 
Trinidad and Tobago472,059 
Colombia2,743,638 
Venezuela758,852 
Panama8,206 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 66 -
- - - - - Canada, United States
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 82 -
- - - - - Canada, United States
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 12:00 197 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 5 16 Sep 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Sep 2022 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Sep 2022 00:00 361 390 thousand
- - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
Blue 8 17 Sep 2022 12:00 125 -
- - - - - Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Panama
Blue 9 18 Sep 2022 00:00 181 6 thousand
- - - - Canada, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 10 18 Sep 2022 12:00 316 1.6 million
- - - Canada, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Panama
Blue 11 19 Sep 2022 00:00 229 300 thousand
- - - - Canada, United States, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Venezuela
Blue 12 19 Sep 2022 12:00 170 60 thousand
- - - - United States, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
Blue 13 20 Sep 2022 00:00 226 5 thousand
- - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
Blue 14 20 Sep 2022 12:00 358 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands, Panama
Blue 15 21 Sep 2022 00:00 409 220 thousand
- - - - Canada, United States, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Trinidad and Tobago, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC