Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for FIONA-22 in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico from 14 Sep 2022 15:00 UTC to 24 Sep 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22

in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saba
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	72 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (16 Sep 14:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	72 km/h	0.8 m	114 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	169 km/h	1.9 m	496 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

169 km/h

Up to 230 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saba	228,556	+
	Dominican Republic	636
	British Virgin Islands	29,620
	Puerto Rico	69,344
	Virgin Islands, U.S.	51,388
	Anguilla	1,038
	Saint-Martin	37,622
	Sint Maarten	37,067
	Saba	1,837

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Sep 2022 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
4	15 Sep 2022 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
5	16 Sep 2022 00:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
6	16 Sep 2022 12:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saba

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico	589,064	+
	Dominican Republic	342,138
	Puerto Rico	246,925
100-250 mm	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Guadeloupe, Colombia, Venezuela	3,162,130	+
	Dominican Republic	169,079
	Puerto Rico	2,935,272
	Virgin Islands, U.S.	967
	Guadeloupe	452
	Colombia	37,764
	Venezuela	18,593
50-100 mm	Canada, United States, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama	6,782,748	+
	Canada	93,996
	United States	416,975
	Dominican Republic	1,431,809
	British Virgin Islands	30,117
	Puerto Rico	501,039
	Virgin Islands, U.S.	105,323
	Anguilla	14,614
	Saint-Martin	41,651
	Sint Maarten	39,623
	Saint-Barthélemy	10,440
	Antigua and Barbuda	91,818
	Saba	2,013
	Saint Eustatius	4,449
	Saint Kitts and Nevis	55,571
	Montserrat	5,124
	Guadeloupe	177,317
	Dominica	30,247
	Colombia	2,745,821
	Venezuela	314,617
	Panama	670,175

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 00:00	66	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, United States
2	14 Sep 2022 12:00	82	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, United States
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	135	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Sep 2022 12:00	197	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States
5	16 Sep 2022 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	16 Sep 2022 12:00	697	3.8 million				-	-	-	Canada, United States, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Dominica, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.