Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Canada
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (14 Sep 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 1.6 m 82 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 169 km/h 1.9 m 496 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

169 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormCanada22,312 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Canada
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmCanada, United States, Colombia23,099
+
Canada12,501 
United States2,959 
Colombia7,637 
50-100 mmCanada, United States, Bahamas, Puerto Rico, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Guadeloupe, Venezuela, Colombia, Panama5,173,052
+
Canada13,288 
United States2,675,365 
Bahamas1,901 
Puerto Rico93 
Antigua and Barbuda90,024 
Saint Kitts and Nevis35,357 
Guadeloupe193,470 
Venezuela531,844 
Colombia1,554,728 
Panama76,978 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 66 -
- - - - - Canada, United States
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 140 20 thousand
- - - - Canada, United States, Bahamas, Puerto Rico, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Guadeloupe, Venezuela, Colombia, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC