Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
25 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States, Bermuda, Turks and Caicos Islands, Cuba, Cayman Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 169 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.9 m (24 Sep 11:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 169 km/h 1.9 m 496 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 169 km/h 1.9 m 496 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

169 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Canada05 
Tropical StormCanada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States, Bermuda, Turks and Caicos Islands, Cuba, Cayman Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat1,728,018
+
Canada421,365 
Saint Pierre and Miquelon6,288 
United States38,313 
Bermuda62,003 
Turks and Caicos Islands34,338 
Cuba779 
Cayman Islands27,646 
Dominican Republic91,624 
Puerto Rico846,925 
Virgin Islands, U.S.55,243 
Anguilla13,100 
Saint-Martin26,879 
Sint Maarten1,746 
Saint-Barthélemy10,440 
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis14,640 
Antigua and Barbuda65,092 
Montserrat5,124 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 5 16 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 6 16 Sep 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat
GREEN 8 17 Sep 2022 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius
GREEN 9 18 Sep 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 10 18 Sep 2022 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 11 19 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 12 19 Sep 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 13 20 Sep 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 14 20 Sep 2022 12:00 148 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 15 21 Sep 2022 00:00 173 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 16 21 Sep 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 22 Sep 2022 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 22 Sep 2022 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 23 Sep 2022 00:00 205 -
- - - - - United States, Bermuda
GREEN 20 23 Sep 2022 12:00 238 -
- - - - - Bermuda
GREEN 21 24 Sep 2022 00:00 191 Few people
-
- - - Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
GREEN 22 24 Sep 2022 12:00 140 -
- - - - - Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
GREEN 23 25 Sep 2022 00:00 90 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 24 25 Sep 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - United States, Cuba, Cayman Islands
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmCanada, United States, Cuba, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Guadeloupe, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama3,273,161
+
Canada1,690 
United States1,190,594 
Cuba984 
Turks and Caicos Islands5,068 
Dominican Republic761 
Puerto Rico1,391,657 
Guadeloupe324,119 
Colombia283,839 
Venezuela56,411 
Panama18,032 
100-250 mmCanada, United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Cayman Islands, Haiti, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Jamaica, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Curaçao, Bonaire, Colombia, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Guyana45,465,351
+
Canada4,051,021 
United States9,666,558 
Bahamas58,114 
Cuba1,025,504 
Turks and Caicos Islands29,270 
Haiti187,060 
Dominican Republic9,285,525 
Cayman Islands59,967 
British Virgin Islands28,264 
Puerto Rico2,291,580 
Jamaica556,824 
Virgin Islands, U.S.106,290 
Saint-Barthélemy10,440 
Antigua and Barbuda91,818 
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis55,571 
Montserrat5,124 
Guadeloupe91,360 
Dominica60,252 
Martinique121,206 
Colombia7,177,523 
Curaçao119 
Bonaire4,998 
Venezuela6,286,650 
Trinidad and Tobago1,093,580 
Panama3,106,483 
Guyana7,775 
50-100 mmCanada, United States, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda, Bahamas, Cuba, Haiti, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Jamaica, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Colombia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Aruba, Grenada, Curaçao, Venezuela, Bonaire, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Guyana64,282,953
+
Canada11,160,988 
United States11,569,743 
Saint Pierre and Miquelon6,288 
Bermuda61,284 
Bahamas39,873 
Cuba3,388,780 
Haiti5,572,039 
Dominican Republic1,126,840 
British Virgin Islands1,852 
Jamaica1,896,914 
Anguilla14,614 
Saint-Martin41,651 
Sint Maarten39,623 
Dominica12,427 
Martinique272,927 
Saint Lucia91,632 
Colombia6,241,771 
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines59,696 
Barbados284,214 
Aruba103,889 
Grenada45,545 
Curaçao157,083 
Bonaire13,398 
Venezuela21,668,387 
Trinidad and Tobago264,715 
Panama31,166 
Guyana115,602 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 66 -
- - - - - Canada, United States
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 82 -
- - - - - Canada, United States
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 12:00 197 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 5 16 Sep 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Sep 2022 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Sep 2022 00:00 361 390 thousand
- - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
Blue 8 17 Sep 2022 12:00 125 -
- - - - - Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Panama
Blue 9 18 Sep 2022 00:00 181 6 thousand
- - - - Canada, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 10 18 Sep 2022 12:00 316 1.6 million
- - - Canada, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Panama
Blue 11 19 Sep 2022 00:00 229 300 thousand
- - - - Canada, United States, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Venezuela
Blue 12 19 Sep 2022 12:00 170 60 thousand
- - - - United States, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
Blue 13 20 Sep 2022 00:00 226 5 thousand
- - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
Blue 14 20 Sep 2022 12:00 358 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands, Panama
Blue 15 21 Sep 2022 00:00 294 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 21 Sep 2022 12:00 211 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 22 Sep 2022 00:00 183 -
- - - - - United States, Venezuela, Colombia
Blue 18 22 Sep 2022 12:00 186 Few people
- - - - Canada, United States
Blue 19 23 Sep 2022 00:00 225 -
- - - - - Curaçao, Bonaire
Blue 20 23 Sep 2022 12:00 209 -
- - - - - Canada
Blue 21 24 Sep 2022 00:00 133 -
- - - - - Canada
Blue 22 24 Sep 2022 12:00 149 -
- - - - - Canada
Blue 23 25 Sep 2022 00:00 116 -
- - - - - Venezuela
Blue 24 25 Sep 2022 12:00 290 170 thousand
- - - - Canada, United States, Bahamas, Cuba, Cayman Islands, Jamaica, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.9 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
1.0 - 2.0 mCanada39,571 
0.5 - 1.0 mCanada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States, Venezuela121,804
+
Canada73,624 
Saint Pierre and Miquelon1,581 
United States33,712 
Venezuela12,885 
0.25 - 0.5 mCanada, United States, Bermuda, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana694,720
+
Canada29,900 
United States467,370 
Bermuda5,008 
Turks and Caicos Islands5,611 
Dominican Republic27,608 
Puerto Rico30,528 
Venezuela104,572 
Trinidad and Tobago181 
Guyana23,936 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC