Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States, Bermuda
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 202 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (22 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 202 km/h 0.8 m 183 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 169 km/h 1.9 m 496 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

169 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Canada03 
CAT. 1Canada02 
Tropical StormCanada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States, Bermuda546,559
+
Canada474,358 
Saint Pierre and Miquelon6,288 
United States3,908 
Bermuda62,003 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 5 16 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 6 16 Sep 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat
GREEN 8 17 Sep 2022 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius
GREEN 9 18 Sep 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 10 18 Sep 2022 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 11 19 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 12 19 Sep 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
GREEN 13 20 Sep 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 14 20 Sep 2022 12:00 148 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 15 21 Sep 2022 00:00 173 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN 16 21 Sep 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 22 Sep 2022 00:00 230 Few people
- - - Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States, Bermuda
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmCanada, Venezuela291,392
+
Canada291,121 
Venezuela270 
50-100 mmCanada, United States, Dominican Republic, Aruba, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Colombia, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama5,574,930
+
Canada1,260,451 
United States41,156 
Dominican Republic2,979 
Aruba103,870 
Curaçao131,139 
Bonaire18,397 
Venezuela548,702 
Colombia3,303,216 
Trinidad and Tobago156,017 
Panama8,998 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 66 -
- - - - - Canada, United States
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 82 -
- - - - - Canada, United States
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 12:00 197 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 5 16 Sep 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Sep 2022 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Sep 2022 00:00 361 390 thousand
- - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
Blue 8 17 Sep 2022 12:00 125 -
- - - - - Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Panama
Blue 9 18 Sep 2022 00:00 181 6 thousand
- - - - Canada, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 10 18 Sep 2022 12:00 316 1.6 million
- - - Canada, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Panama
Blue 11 19 Sep 2022 00:00 229 300 thousand
- - - - Canada, United States, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Venezuela
Blue 12 19 Sep 2022 12:00 170 60 thousand
- - - - United States, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
Blue 13 20 Sep 2022 00:00 226 5 thousand
- - - - Turks and Caicos Islands
Blue 14 20 Sep 2022 12:00 358 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands, Panama
Blue 15 21 Sep 2022 00:00 294 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 21 Sep 2022 12:00 211 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 22 Sep 2022 00:00 272 290 thousand
- - - - Canada, United States, Dominican Republic, Aruba, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Colombia, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC