Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
17 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (17 Sep 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 72 km/h 0.7 m 125 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 169 km/h 1.9 m 496 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

169 km/h

Up to 750 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTurks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius745,574
+
Turks and Caicos Islands5,141 
Dominican Republic87,241 
Puerto Rico587,863 
Anguilla13,100 
Saint-Martin26,879 
Sint Maarten1,746 
Saint-Barthélemy10,440 
Virgin Islands, U.S.11,130 
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius16 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 5 16 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Canada
GREEN 6 16 Sep 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat
GREEN 8 17 Sep 2022 12:00 155 -
- - - - - Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmPuerto Rico18,990 
250-500 mmPuerto Rico782,915 
100-250 mmCanada, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Panama, Venezuela, Colombia4,233,713
+
Canada168 
Dominican Republic1,004,870 
British Virgin Islands316 
Puerto Rico2,881,331 
Virgin Islands, U.S.105,628 
Venezuela4,687 
Colombia236,434 
Panama275 
50-100 mmCanada, United States, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Venezuela, Colombia, Panama14,130,667
+
Canada1,688,345 
United States213,710 
Dominican Republic6,814,066 
British Virgin Islands29,800 
Virgin Islands, U.S.662 
Sint Maarten43 
Saint-Barthélemy10,440 
Antigua and Barbuda82,710 
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis55,571 
Montserrat5,124 
Guadeloupe71,276 
Venezuela769,195 
Colombia4,232,186 
Panama151,069 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 00:00 66 -
- - - - - Canada, United States
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 12:00 82 -
- - - - - Canada, United States
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 12:00 197 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 5 16 Sep 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Sep 2022 12:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Sep 2022 00:00 361 390 thousand
- - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
Blue 8 17 Sep 2022 12:00 600 5 million
- - Canada, United States, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Venezuela, Colombia, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC