Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
17 Jun 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (17 Jun 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 104 km/h 0.5 m 208 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 68 km/h 0.6 m 632 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala, Costa Rica, Panama433,713
+
Mexico77,514 
Guatemala252,218 
Costa Rica102,689 
Panama1,290 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama19,272,302
+
Mexico7,870,650 
Belize90,670 
Guatemala8,256,525 
Honduras442,780 
El Salvador543,059 
Nicaragua158,348 
Costa Rica1,473,243 
Panama437,024 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 00:00 359 110 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 2 16 Jun 2022 12:00 210 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 00:00 226 430 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Texas, North Beach, United States. This height is estimated for 18/06/2022 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18/06/2022 03:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
17/06/2022 23:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 19:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
16/06/2022 07:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 19:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 10:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.1
18/06/2022 03:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 08:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.1
18/06/2022 07:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 20:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 17:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.1
16/06/2022 02:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 08:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.1
16/06/2022 15:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 20:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.1
18/06/2022 07:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 07:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.1
18/06/2022 07:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.1
18/06/2022 07:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.1
18/06/2022 07:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.1
18/06/2022 08:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.1
18/06/2022 20:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 07:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 03:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 07:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.1
18/06/2022 07:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 07:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.1
16/06/2022 21:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 09:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.1
18/06/2022 09:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 01:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 03:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 07:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.1
16/06/2022 04:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 20:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
16/06/2022 08:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 14:00 Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.1
16/06/2022 03:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 04:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Escuintla, Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Santa Rosa, Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
16/06/2022 08:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Louisiana, Grand Isle United States  0.1