Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
16 Jun 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (16 Jun 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 90 km/h 0.6 m 210 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 68 km/h 0.6 m 632 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 Jun 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala, Costa Rica, Panama82,263
+
Mexico70,010 
Guatemala6,708 
Costa Rica5,406 
Panama137 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama8,441,978
+
Mexico3,766,702 
Belize178,194 
Guatemala2,027,929 
Honduras459,293 
Nicaragua422,249 
Costa Rica1,320,231 
Panama267,377 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 00:00 359 110 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 2 16 Jun 2022 12:00 332 80 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Florida, Feather Sound, United States. This height is estimated for 19/06/2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19/06/2022 00:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.2
16/06/2022 09:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 18:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.2
18/06/2022 15:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
16/06/2022 08:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.2
16/06/2022 00:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 00:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 11:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
18/06/2022 20:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.1
18/06/2022 20:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 20:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.1
18/06/2022 17:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 17:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 20:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
17/06/2022 20:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
16/06/2022 00:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.1
17/06/2022 19:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
17/06/2022 19:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 10:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 15:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 21:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.1
17/06/2022 21:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.1
16/06/2022 13:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
16/06/2022 18:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 13:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.1
18/06/2022 11:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.1
16/06/2022 00:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
18/06/2022 02:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
17/06/2022 22:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 15:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 13:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.1
16/06/2022 06:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 15:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 11:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
16/06/2022 08:00 Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 01:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 03:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 11:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
16/06/2022 09:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 09:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 13:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 13:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.1