Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
21 Jun 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (21 Jun 18:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 61 km/h 0.3 m 197 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 68 km/h 0.6 m 632 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Jun 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Jun 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Jun 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 20 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 20 Jun 2022 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 21 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 21 Jun 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Costa Rica1,250,274
+
Mexico1,250,141 
Costa Rica132 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama16,102,918
+
Mexico13,103,023 
Belize15,549 
Guatemala878,570 
Honduras33,006 
El Salvador333,072 
Nicaragua231,629 
Costa Rica1,377,309 
Panama130,756 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 00:00 359 110 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 2 16 Jun 2022 12:00 210 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 00:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 218 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 5 18 Jun 2022 00:00 204 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Mexico
Blue 6 18 Jun 2022 12:00 130 -
- - - - - Guatemala
Blue 7 19 Jun 2022 00:00 132 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 8 19 Jun 2022 12:00 207 20 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Costa Rica, Panama
Blue 9 20 Jun 2022 00:00 203 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 10 20 Jun 2022 12:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, Costa Rica
Blue 11 21 Jun 2022 00:00 306 Few people
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 12 21 Jun 2022 12:00 376 1.3 million
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Florida, Feather Sound, United States. This height is estimated for 18/06/2022 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.4
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.3
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.3
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.3
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.3
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.3
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.3
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.3
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.3
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.3
18/06/2022 05:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.3
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.3
18/06/2022 19:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.3
17/06/2022 13:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.3
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.3
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.3
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.3
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.3
18/06/2022 17:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.3
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.3
18/06/2022 04:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.3
18/06/2022 04:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.3
18/06/2022 04:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.3
18/06/2022 20:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.3
18/06/2022 04:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.3
18/06/2022 04:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.3
18/06/2022 19:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.3
18/06/2022 05:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.3
18/06/2022 13:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.3
18/06/2022 19:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.3
18/06/2022 05:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.3
18/06/2022 13:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.3
16/06/2022 12:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.3
18/06/2022 19:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.3
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.3
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.3
18/06/2022 23:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 19:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 19:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 13:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 15:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
16/06/2022 00:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Limon, Doce Millas Costa Rica  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Ensenada de Punta Avispa Panama  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Tobobe Panama  0.2
17/06/2022 08:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.2
18/06/2022 09:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 16:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, South Pass United States  0.2
18/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Port Eads United States  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
16/06/2022 00:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 19:00 Louisiana, Breton United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
18/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Grand Isle United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 19:00 Louisiana, Port Fourchon United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 13:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 10:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 13:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 19:00 Louisiana, West Point United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Pinar del Rio, La Furnia Cuba  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Florida, Dry Tortugas Fort Jefferson United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.2
17/06/2022 02:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 07:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Puntarenas, Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Puntarenas, Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.2
17/06/2022 15:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 07:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 08:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 10:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.2
17/06/2022 10:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.2
17/06/2022 16:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 02:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 08:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 09:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 09:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 08:00 Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 15:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Boquita Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Isla Torta Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Chiriqui, Finca Pino Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Chiriqui, Salado de Los Guavos Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Chiriqui, Salado de Los Guabos Panama  0.1
16/06/2022 10:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
17/06/2022 12:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 03:00 Puntarenas, Esterillo Este Costa Rica  0.1
16/06/2022 03:00 Puntarenas, Bejuco Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 09:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Chiriqui, Mata Hambre Panama  0.1
17/06/2022 12:00 Baja California Sur, El Tule Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 14:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Baja California Sur, Isla Cedros Cedros Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 14:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Chiriqui, Boca Toro Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 09:00 Baja California Sur, El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 04:00 Santa Rosa, Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 04:00 Escuintla, Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
17/06/2022 13:00 Puntarenas, Esterillos Este Costa Rica  0.1
17/06/2022 02:00 Guanacaste, Puerto San Juanillo Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 09:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 10:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Guanacaste, Carrillo Costa Rica  0.1
16/06/2022 08:00 Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Baja California Sur, Isla Natividad Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 18:00 Puntarenas, Madrigal Costa Rica  0.1
16/06/2022 02:00 Oaxaca, Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 11:00 Oaxaca, Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1