Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22
in Mexico
20 Jun 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (20 Jun 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.4 m 203 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 68 km/h 0.6 m 632 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Jun 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jun 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Jun 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Jun 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Jun 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 20 Jun 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Costa Rica3,418,324
+
Mexico2,987,844 
Guatemala414,390 
Honduras429 
El Salvador15,572 
Costa Rica87 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama29,190,221
+
Mexico13,781,429 
Belize271,226 
Guatemala7,483,332 
Honduras928,339 
Nicaragua1,052,829 
El Salvador3,815,952 
Costa Rica1,812,013 
Panama45,097 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Jun 2022 00:00 359 110 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 2 16 Jun 2022 12:00 210 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 17 Jun 2022 00:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jun 2022 12:00 218 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 5 18 Jun 2022 00:00 204 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Mexico
Blue 6 18 Jun 2022 12:00 130 -
- - - - - Guatemala
Blue 7 19 Jun 2022 00:00 132 -
- - - - - Costa Rica
Blue 8 19 Jun 2022 12:00 207 20 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Costa Rica, Panama
Blue 9 20 Jun 2022 00:00 373 3.4 million
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real, Mexico. This height is estimated for 19/06/2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19/06/2022 00:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.3
17/06/2022 22:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.3
17/06/2022 08:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.3
17/06/2022 06:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.3
17/06/2022 09:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.3
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.3
17/06/2022 09:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.3
17/06/2022 09:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.3
17/06/2022 11:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.3
18/06/2022 00:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.3
17/06/2022 09:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.3
17/06/2022 13:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.3
18/06/2022 20:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.2
17/06/2022 20:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
17/06/2022 23:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
17/06/2022 23:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.2
17/06/2022 21:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
17/06/2022 05:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 13:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
17/06/2022 12:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 15:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.2
17/06/2022 06:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
17/06/2022 06:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
18/06/2022 15:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
17/06/2022 03:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
17/06/2022 03:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 14:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.2
17/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.2
17/06/2022 11:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 11:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.2
18/06/2022 12:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.2
17/06/2022 03:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
18/06/2022 01:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
17/06/2022 04:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
18/06/2022 13:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
17/06/2022 03:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 09:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Pinar del Rio, La Furnia Cuba  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 01:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 09:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
17/06/2022 20:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 00:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 14:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
17/06/2022 20:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Ensenada de Punta Avispa Panama  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Tobobe Panama  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Florida, Dry Tortugas Fort Jefferson United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Limon, Doce Millas Costa Rica  0.2
18/06/2022 22:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Louisiana, Grand Isle United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Louisiana, Port Eads United States  0.2
19/06/2022 00:00 Louisiana, South Pass United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Louisiana, Breton United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Louisiana, Port Fourchon United States  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Louisiana, West Point United States  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 20:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.2
18/06/2022 21:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
18/06/2022 23:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.2
17/06/2022 18:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 21:00 Baja California Sur, San Carlos Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 20:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Baja California Sur, El Tule Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 19:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 20:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Puntarenas, Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Puntarenas, Esterillo Este Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Puntarenas, Bejuco Costa Rica  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Baja California Sur, El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
16/06/2022 07:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 22:00 Puntarenas, Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.1
16/06/2022 04:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Chiriqui, Mata Hambre Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Chiriqui, Finca Pino Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Chiriqui, Salado de Los Guavos Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Chiriqui, Salado de Los Guabos Panama  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Isla Torta Panama  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Puntarenas, Esterillos Este Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Bocas del Toro, Boquita Panama  0.1
16/06/2022 07:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Guanacaste, Puerto San Juanillo Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Guanacaste, Carrillo Costa Rica  0.1
16/06/2022 07:00 Santa Rosa, Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Puntarenas, Madrigal Costa Rica  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Chiriqui, Boca Toro Panama  0.1
16/06/2022 21:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 15:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 23:00 Baja California Sur, Isla Cedros Cedros Mexico  0.1
16/06/2022 20:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
18/06/2022 21:00 Escuintla, Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
18/06/2022 00:00 Oaxaca, Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
17/06/2022 00:00 Oaxaca, Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
19/06/2022 00:00 Baja California Sur, Isla Natividad Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1