Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan
14 Sep 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Russia, China, Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 119 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.1 m (14 Sep 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 119 km/h 2.1 m 224 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 2.1 m 735 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormRussia, China, Japan15,917,967
+
Russia2,284 
China15,903,143 
Japan12,539 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 162 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 133 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2022 00:00 140 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Russia, China
GREEN 5 14 Sep 2022 00:00 119 -
- - - - - Russia, China, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

735 mm

Up to 66 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmChina459,650 
100-250 mmChina, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Philippines, Malaysia65,499,673
+
China64,158,829 
North Korea583,834 
South Korea20,441 
Japan9,270 
Philippines725,955 
Malaysia1,341 
50-100 mmChina, Russia, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, Guam, Malaysia137,537,417
+
China116,621,761 
Russia488 
North Korea9,893,758 
South Korea3,524,119 
Japan524,438 
Northern Mariana Islands55,070 
Philippines6,740,879 
Guam169,220 
Malaysia7,680 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 243 3 thousand
- - - - China, Taiwan, Japan
Blue 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 193 140 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Japan
Blue 3 13 Sep 2022 00:00 293 Few people
- - - - Taiwan
Blue 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 200 800 thousand
- - - - China
Blue 5 14 Sep 2022 00:00 386 66 million
- - - China, Russia, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, Guam, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

2.1 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC