Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan
13 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Russia, China, Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 119 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (13 Sep 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 119 km/h 0.8 m 200 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 2.1 m 735 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormRussia, China, Japan19,726,544
+
Russia66 
China19,724,147 
Japan2,331 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 162 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 133 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2022 00:00 140 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Russia, China, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

735 mm

Up to 113 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmChina731,121 
100-250 mmChina, North Korea, Philippines112,243,514
+
China111,763,051 
North Korea325,699 
Philippines154,763 
50-100 mmChina, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, Guam, Malaysia105,178,817
+
China96,170,285 
North Korea3,580,214 
South Korea206,557 
Japan609,892 
Taiwan11,797 
Northern Mariana Islands55,070 
Philippines4,521,452 
Guam15,903 
Malaysia7,643 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 243 3 thousand
- - - - China, Taiwan, Japan
Blue 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 193 140 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Japan
Blue 3 13 Sep 2022 00:00 293 Few people
- - - - Taiwan
Blue 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 313 113 million
- - - China, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, Guam, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC