Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan
17 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Japan, North Korea, South Korea
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 119 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.3 m (18 Sep 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 119 km/h 1.3 m 188 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 2.1 m 735 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan, North Korea, South Korea17,712,750
+
Japan17,612,375 
North Korea4,250 
South Korea96,123 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 162 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 133 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2022 00:00 140 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Russia, China
GREEN 5 14 Sep 2022 00:00 119 -
- - - - - Russia, China, Japan
GREEN 6 14 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 7 15 Sep 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 8 15 Sep 2022 12:00 79 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - China, North Korea
GREEN 10 16 Sep 2022 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 12 17 Sep 2022 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Japan, North Korea, South Korea
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

735 mm

Up to 39.9 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmJapan3,251 
250-500 mmSouth Korea, Japan1,563,117
+
Japan1,539,227 
South Korea23,889 
100-250 mmRussia, Japan, South Korea, Philippines38,363,440
+
Russia01 
Japan26,415,907 
South Korea7,242,189 
Philippines4,705,342 
50-100 mmRussia, Japan, South Korea, China, Philippines, Micronesia, Malaysia79,064,860
+
Russia16,375 
Japan48,957,628 
South Korea1,587,621 
China142 
Philippines28,502,391 
Micronesia01 
Malaysia700 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 243 3 thousand
- - - - China, Taiwan, Japan
Blue 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 193 140 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Japan
Blue 3 13 Sep 2022 00:00 293 Few people
- - - - Taiwan
Blue 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 200 800 thousand
- - - - China
Blue 5 14 Sep 2022 00:00 224 6.5 million
- - - - China
Blue 6 14 Sep 2022 12:00 106 -
- - - - - China
Blue 7 15 Sep 2022 00:00 127 Few people
- - - - China, Philippines
Blue 8 15 Sep 2022 12:00 109 -
- - - - - China, North Korea, Philippines
Blue 9 16 Sep 2022 00:00 120 430 thousand
- - - - China, North Korea
Blue 10 16 Sep 2022 12:00 140 -
- - - - - China, Russia, Japan
Blue 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 216 2 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 12 17 Sep 2022 12:00 582 39.9 million
- - Russia, Japan, South Korea, China, Philippines, Micronesia, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.3 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC