Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan
12 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Russia, China, Japan
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (12 Sep 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 133 km/h 0.7 m 193 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 2.1 m 735 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

130 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1China, Japan553
+
China408 
Japan145 
Tropical StormRussia, China, Japan10,779,892
+
Russia23 
China10,673,454 
Japan106,414 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 162 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 148 Few people
- - - - Russia, China, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmChina116,534 
100-250 mmChina, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines103,950,004
+
China101,216,614 
South Korea39,953 
Japan709,510 
Taiwan1,966,397 
Philippines17,528 
50-100 mmNorth Korea, China, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, Guam, Malaysia88,381,555
+
North Korea319,499 
China78,057,744 
South Korea249,783 
Japan115,100 
Taiwan7,518,081 
Northern Mariana Islands51,908 
Philippines2,056,143 
Guam5,934 
Malaysia7,359 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 243 3 thousand
- - - - China, Taiwan, Japan
Blue 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 451 104.1 million
- - - North Korea, China, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, Guam, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC