Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MUIFA-22
in China, Japan
12 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MUIFA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Russia, Japan, China
Exposed population 50 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (12 Sep 12:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 140 km/h 0.4 m 214 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 2.2 m 717 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 50 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Japan50,900 
Tropical StormRussia, Japan, China34,707,450
+
Russia28,047 
Japan100,845 
China34,578,558 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Sep 2022 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 2 07 Sep 2022 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 3 07 Sep 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 4 07 Sep 2022 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 5 07 Sep 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Sep 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Sep 2022 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Sep 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Sep 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Sep 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Sep 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Sep 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Sep 2022 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 10 Sep 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 10 Sep 2022 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 10 Sep 2022 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 10 Sep 2022 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 11 Sep 2022 00:00 173 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 19 11 Sep 2022 06:00 162 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 20 11 Sep 2022 12:00 162 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 21 11 Sep 2022 18:00 144 50 thousand
- - - - Japan
GREEN 22 12 Sep 2022 00:00 130 2 thousand
- - - - Japan
GREEN 23 12 Sep 2022 06:00 - 4.1 million
Japan, China, South Korea
GREEN 24 12 Sep 2022 12:00 148 50 thousand
- - - - Russia, Japan, China
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmChina6,631,087 
100-250 mmChina, Japan, Philippines68,286,018
+
China68,266,659 
Japan4,488 
Philippines14,869 
50-100 mmChina, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Micronesia55,328,639
+
China46,285,001 
South Korea637,635 
Japan72,848 
Taiwan6,310,721 
Philippines2,013,845 
Micronesia8,587 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Sep 2022 18:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Sep 2022 00:00 150 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 3 07 Sep 2022 06:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Sep 2022 12:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Sep 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Sep 2022 00:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Sep 2022 06:00 154 -
- - - - - China
Blue 8 08 Sep 2022 12:00 84 -
- - - - - China
Blue 9 08 Sep 2022 18:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Sep 2022 00:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Sep 2022 06:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 09 Sep 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Sep 2022 18:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 10 Sep 2022 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 10 Sep 2022 06:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 10 Sep 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 10 Sep 2022 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 11 Sep 2022 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 11 Sep 2022 06:00 252 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 11 Sep 2022 12:00 257 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 21 11 Sep 2022 18:00 151 2 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 22 12 Sep 2022 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 23 12 Sep 2022 06:00 182 Few people
- - - - China, Japan
Blue 24 12 Sep 2022 12:00 597 74.9 million
- - - China, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC