Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MUIFA-22
in China, Japan
16 Sep 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MUIFA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Russia, Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea, Philippines
Exposed population 190 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.2 m (14 Sep 15:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 176 km/h 2.2 m 717 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 2.2 m 717 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 190 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Japan193,756 
Tropical StormRussia, Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea, Philippines46,549,995
+
Russia106,723 
Japan12,546,501 
North Korea5,952 
China33,004,049 
South Korea882,628 
Philippines4,138 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Sep 2022 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 2 07 Sep 2022 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 3 07 Sep 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 4 07 Sep 2022 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 5 07 Sep 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Sep 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Sep 2022 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Sep 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Sep 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Sep 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Sep 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Sep 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Sep 2022 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 10 Sep 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 10 Sep 2022 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 10 Sep 2022 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 10 Sep 2022 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 11 Sep 2022 00:00 173 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 19 11 Sep 2022 06:00 162 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 20 11 Sep 2022 12:00 162 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 21 11 Sep 2022 18:00 144 50 thousand
- - - - Japan
GREEN 22 12 Sep 2022 00:00 130 2 thousand
- - - - Japan
GREEN 23 12 Sep 2022 06:00 - 4.1 million
Japan, China, South Korea
GREEN 24 12 Sep 2022 12:00 140 50 thousand
- - - - Japan
GREEN 25 12 Sep 2022 18:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 26 13 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 27 13 Sep 2022 06:00 158 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 28 13 Sep 2022 12:00 137 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 29 13 Sep 2022 18:00 144 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 30 14 Sep 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - South Korea, China, Japan
GREEN 31 14 Sep 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 32 14 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 33 14 Sep 2022 18:00 104 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 34 15 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 35 15 Sep 2022 06:00 101 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 36 15 Sep 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 37 15 Sep 2022 18:00 144 -
- - - - - China, Philippines
GREEN 38 16 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 39 16 Sep 2022 06:00 155 140 thousand
- - - - North Korea, South Korea, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmJapan435,307 
250-500 mmChina, Japan, Philippines20,971,987
+
China17,958,242 
Japan2,983,549 
Philippines30,195 
100-250 mmChina, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Micronesia120,402,617
+
China87,682,601 
Japan12,146,561 
South Korea97,223 
Taiwan9,512,222 
Philippines10,963,744 
Micronesia264 
50-100 mmRussia, China, Japan, North Korea, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau175,637,134
+
Russia140,267 
China66,577,672 
Japan43,836,041 
North Korea1,075,801 
South Korea3,887,038 
Taiwan2,072,070 
Hong Kong79 
Philippines58,039,231 
Micronesia8,581 
Palau350 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Sep 2022 18:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Sep 2022 00:00 150 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 3 07 Sep 2022 06:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Sep 2022 12:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Sep 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Sep 2022 00:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Sep 2022 06:00 154 -
- - - - - China
Blue 8 08 Sep 2022 12:00 84 -
- - - - - China
Blue 9 08 Sep 2022 18:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Sep 2022 00:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Sep 2022 06:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 09 Sep 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Sep 2022 18:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 10 Sep 2022 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 10 Sep 2022 06:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 10 Sep 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 10 Sep 2022 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 11 Sep 2022 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 11 Sep 2022 06:00 252 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 11 Sep 2022 12:00 257 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 21 11 Sep 2022 18:00 151 2 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 22 12 Sep 2022 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 23 12 Sep 2022 06:00 182 Few people
- - - - China, Japan
Blue 24 12 Sep 2022 12:00 214 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 25 12 Sep 2022 18:00 134 -
- - - - - China
Blue 26 13 Sep 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - China
Blue 27 13 Sep 2022 06:00 225 -
- - - - - China
Blue 28 13 Sep 2022 12:00 142 -
- - - - - China
Blue 29 13 Sep 2022 18:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 14 Sep 2022 00:00 157 -
- - - - - China
Blue 31 14 Sep 2022 06:00 111 330 thousand
- - - - China, Japan, Philippines
Blue 32 14 Sep 2022 12:00 190 -
- - - - - China
Blue 33 14 Sep 2022 18:00 124 -
- - - - - China
Blue 34 15 Sep 2022 00:00 85 -
- - - - - China
Blue 35 15 Sep 2022 06:00 143 10 thousand
- - - - China, Philippines
Blue 36 15 Sep 2022 12:00 66 -
- - - - - China, Philippines
Blue 37 15 Sep 2022 18:00 106 -
- - - - - China
Blue 38 16 Sep 2022 00:00 124 -
- - - - - China
Blue 39 16 Sep 2022 06:00 680 14.9 million
- - Russia, China, South Korea, Japan, Philippines, Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

2.2 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
1.0 - 2.0 mRussia, China2,113,788
+
Russia12,741 
China2,101,046 
0.5 - 1.0 mRussia, Japan, China2,188,571
+
Russia15,142 
Japan9,857 
China2,163,571 
0.25 - 0.5 mRussia, Japan, China, North Korea, South Korea, Taiwan3,851,439
+
Russia13,812 
Japan46,874 
China3,294,015 
North Korea227,306 
South Korea264,069 
Taiwan5,362 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC