Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for MUIFA-22 in China, Japan from 06 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC to 16 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MUIFA-22

in China, Japan

11 Sep 2022 06 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MUIFA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Russia, Japan
Exposed population	50 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	162 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (11 Sep 07:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	162 km/h	0.3 m	252 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	2.2 m	717 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 50 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 2	Japan	30
CAT. 1	Japan	52,401
Tropical Storm	Russia, Japan	87,639	+
	Russia	33,511
	Japan	54,128

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	06 Sep 2022 18:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Russia, Japan
2	07 Sep 2022 00:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	Russia, Japan
3	07 Sep 2022 06:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Russia
4	07 Sep 2022 12:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Russia
5	07 Sep 2022 18:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	08 Sep 2022 00:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	08 Sep 2022 06:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	08 Sep 2022 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	08 Sep 2022 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	09 Sep 2022 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	09 Sep 2022 06:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	09 Sep 2022 12:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	09 Sep 2022 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	10 Sep 2022 00:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	10 Sep 2022 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	10 Sep 2022 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	10 Sep 2022 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	11 Sep 2022 00:00	173	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan
19	11 Sep 2022 06:00	162	50 thousand				-	-	-	Russia, Japan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
500-750 mm	Japan	49,693
250-500 mm	Japan	2,737
100-250 mm	China, Taiwan, Japan	33,477,461	+
	China	31,674,904
	Japan	51,986
	Taiwan	1,750,571
50-100 mm	South Korea, China, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau	38,026,238	+
	South Korea	478,498
	China	28,646,977
	Japan	25,848
	Taiwan	8,710,089
	Philippines	164,697
	Micronesia	86
	Palau	41

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	06 Sep 2022 18:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	07 Sep 2022 00:00	150	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan
3	07 Sep 2022 06:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	07 Sep 2022 12:00	213	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	07 Sep 2022 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	08 Sep 2022 00:00	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	08 Sep 2022 06:00	154	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
8	08 Sep 2022 12:00	84	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
9	08 Sep 2022 18:00	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	09 Sep 2022 00:00	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	09 Sep 2022 06:00	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	09 Sep 2022 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	09 Sep 2022 18:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	10 Sep 2022 00:00	113	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	10 Sep 2022 06:00	181	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	10 Sep 2022 12:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	10 Sep 2022 18:00	204	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	11 Sep 2022 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	11 Sep 2022 06:00	816	33.5 million					-	-	South Korea, China, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.