Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for MUIFA-22 in China, Japan from 06 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC to 16 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MUIFA-22

in China, Japan

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MUIFA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	China, North Korea, Japan
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	122 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.5 m (14 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	122 km/h	1.5 m	223 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	130 km/h	2.1 m	733 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	China, North Korea, Japan	15,477,067	+
	China	15,465,172
	North Korea	513
	Japan	11,382

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	06 Sep 2022 00:00	126	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan, South Korea
2	06 Sep 2022 12:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	Russia, Japan
3	07 Sep 2022 00:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Russia, Japan
4	07 Sep 2022 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	08 Sep 2022 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	08 Sep 2022 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	09 Sep 2022 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	09 Sep 2022 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	10 Sep 2022 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	10 Sep 2022 12:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	11 Sep 2022 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan
12	11 Sep 2022 12:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan
13	12 Sep 2022 00:00	162	Few people			-	-	-	-	Japan
14	12 Sep 2022 12:00	137	Few people			-	-	-	-	Japan
15	13 Sep 2022 00:00	144	-		-	-	-	-	-	Russia, Japan
16	13 Sep 2022 12:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
17	14 Sep 2022 00:00	122	-		-	-	-	-	-	China, North Korea, Japan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

733 mm

Up to 66 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	China	458,182
100-250 mm	China, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Philippines	65,549,451	+
	China	64,222,254
	North Korea	582,817
	South Korea	20,441
	Japan	9,134
	Philippines	714,804
50-100 mm	China, Russia, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Philippines	137,245,402	+
	China	116,531,010
	Russia	491
	North Korea	9,925,886
	South Korea	3,607,778
	Japan	517,621
	Philippines	6,662,614

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	06 Sep 2022 00:00	136	250 thousand			-	-	-	-	China, Russia, Taiwan
2	06 Sep 2022 12:00	105	-		-	-	-	-	-	Russia, China
3	07 Sep 2022 00:00	134	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan, China, Taiwan
4	07 Sep 2022 12:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan
5	08 Sep 2022 00:00	61	-		-	-	-	-	-	Philippines
6	08 Sep 2022 12:00	93	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan
7	09 Sep 2022 00:00	144	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan
8	09 Sep 2022 12:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	10 Sep 2022 00:00	196	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	10 Sep 2022 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	11 Sep 2022 00:00	198	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan
12	11 Sep 2022 12:00	222	50 thousand			-	-	-	-	Taiwan, Japan
13	12 Sep 2022 00:00	243	3 thousand			-	-	-	-	China, Taiwan, Japan
14	12 Sep 2022 12:00	193	150 thousand			-	-	-	-	Taiwan, Japan
15	13 Sep 2022 00:00	293	Few people			-	-	-	-	Taiwan, Philippines
16	13 Sep 2022 12:00	200	800 thousand			-	-	-	-	China
17	14 Sep 2022 00:00	386	66 million				-	-	-	China, Russia, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Philippines

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.