Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MUIFA-22
in China, Japan
16 Sep 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MUIFA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Russia, Japan, China, North Korea, South Korea
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.1 m (14 Sep 16:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 130 km/h 2.1 m 733 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 2.1 m 733 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

130 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Japan299 
Tropical StormRussia, Japan, China, North Korea, South Korea14,564,871
+
Russia43,078 
Japan5,060,550 
China9,380,340 
North Korea4,440 
South Korea76,462 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Sep 2022 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan, South Korea
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 3 07 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 4 07 Sep 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Sep 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Sep 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Sep 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Sep 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Sep 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Sep 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 12 11 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 13 12 Sep 2022 00:00 162 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 14 12 Sep 2022 12:00 137 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 15 13 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 16 13 Sep 2022 12:00 119 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 17 14 Sep 2022 00:00 122 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 18 14 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 19 15 Sep 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 20 15 Sep 2022 12:00 79 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 21 16 Sep 2022 00:00 115 -
- - - - - China, North Korea, South Korea, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmJapan13,405 
250-500 mmJapan, China, Taiwan, Philippines8,792,053
+
China5,410,936 
Japan2,622,919 
Taiwan713,996 
Philippines44,200 
100-250 mmRussia, China, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau209,383,624
+
China120,095,631 
Russia555,203 
Japan33,737,082 
North Korea471,018 
South Korea7,464,998 
Taiwan10,932,607 
Philippines36,121,611 
Micronesia5,161 
Palau309 
50-100 mmChina, Russia, Japan, North Korea, South Korea, Taiwan, Macao, Philippines, Micronesia224,753,228
+
China112,446,787 
Russia2,374,042 
Japan54,476,066 
North Korea5,868,803 
South Korea3,119,146 
Taiwan6,727,055 
Macao289,745 
Philippines39,447,896 
Micronesia3,683 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Sep 2022 00:00 136 250 thousand
- - - - China, Russia, Taiwan
Blue 2 06 Sep 2022 12:00 105 -
- - - - - Russia, China
Blue 3 07 Sep 2022 00:00 134 -
- - - - - Japan, China, Taiwan
Blue 4 07 Sep 2022 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 5 08 Sep 2022 00:00 61 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 6 08 Sep 2022 12:00 93 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 7 09 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 8 09 Sep 2022 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Sep 2022 00:00 196 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Sep 2022 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 11 Sep 2022 00:00 198 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 12 11 Sep 2022 12:00 222 50 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Japan
Blue 13 12 Sep 2022 00:00 243 3 thousand
- - - - China, Taiwan, Japan
Blue 14 12 Sep 2022 12:00 193 150 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Japan
Blue 15 13 Sep 2022 00:00 293 Few people
- - - - Taiwan, Philippines
Blue 16 13 Sep 2022 12:00 200 800 thousand
- - - - China
Blue 17 14 Sep 2022 00:00 223 6.5 million
- - - - China
Blue 18 14 Sep 2022 12:00 106 -
- - - - - China
Blue 19 15 Sep 2022 00:00 127 Few people
- - - - China, Philippines
Blue 20 15 Sep 2022 12:00 109 -
- - - - - China, North Korea, Philippines
Blue 21 16 Sep 2022 00:00 643 22.6 million
- - Russia, China, Japan, North Korea, South Korea, Taiwan, Philippines




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

2.1 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
1.0 - 2.0 mChina, Japan2,353,008
+
Japan371,529 
China1,981,478 
0.5 - 1.0 mRussia, Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea2,782,778
+
Russia29,549 
Japan851,581 
North Korea121,377 
China1,702,960 
South Korea77,309 
0.25 - 0.5 mRussia, Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Philippines5,774,100
+
Russia23,989 
Japan1,810,323 
North Korea340,427 
China2,971,161 
South Korea577,402 
Taiwan16,607 
Hong Kong110 
Philippines34,077 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC