Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MUIFA-22
in China, Japan
11 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MUIFA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Russia, Japan, China
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (11 Sep 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 112 km/h 0.4 m 222 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 2.1 m 733 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

130 km/h

Up to 1.1 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormRussia, Japan, China1,053,885
+
Russia465 
Japan106,875 
China946,544 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Sep 2022 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan, South Korea
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 3 07 Sep 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 4 07 Sep 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Sep 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Sep 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Sep 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Sep 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Sep 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Sep 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 12 11 Sep 2022 12:00 148 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan, China
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmChina, Taiwan, Japan483,257
+
China112,552 
Japan1,755 
Taiwan368,949 
100-250 mmSouth Korea, China, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines35,008,553
+
China24,587,350 
South Korea60,799 
Japan330,373 
Taiwan10,027,916 
Philippines2,113 
50-100 mmNorth Korea, China, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines44,729,700
+
North Korea1,599 
China42,486,715 
South Korea386,383 
Japan573,881 
Taiwan1,108,464 
Philippines172,657 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Sep 2022 00:00 136 250 thousand
- - - - China, Russia, Taiwan
Blue 2 06 Sep 2022 12:00 105 -
- - - - - Russia, China
Blue 3 07 Sep 2022 00:00 134 -
- - - - - Japan, China, Taiwan
Blue 4 07 Sep 2022 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 5 08 Sep 2022 00:00 61 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 6 08 Sep 2022 12:00 93 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 7 09 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 8 09 Sep 2022 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Sep 2022 00:00 196 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Sep 2022 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 11 Sep 2022 00:00 198 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 12 11 Sep 2022 12:00 855 35.5 million
- - - North Korea, China, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC