Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MUIFA-22
in China, Japan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MUIFA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Russia, Japan, South Korea
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (06 Sep 11:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 126 km/h 0.7 m 136 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 2.1 m 733 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormRussia, Japan, South Korea246,332
+
Russia6,222 
Japan204,111 
South Korea35,997 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Sep 2022 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan, South Korea
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

733 mm

Up to 1.7 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmRussia, Japan, China, Taiwan1,679,742
+
Russia253,512 
China11,097 
Japan1,413,138 
Taiwan1,994 
50-100 mmRussia, China, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines38,558,577
+
Russia1,116,097 
China7,139,784 
Japan28,667,692 
Taiwan1,012,000 
Philippines623,002 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Sep 2022 00:00 169 1.7 million
- - - - Russia, China, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC