Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Exposed population 9 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (18 Sep 05:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 112 km/h 0.8 m 227 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 234 km/h n.a. 1075 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

234 km/h

Up to 3.9 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico8,555
+
Dominican Republic8,550 
Puerto Rico04 
Tropical StormDominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.3,863,521
+
Dominican Republic126,804 
British Virgin Islands29,817 
Puerto Rico3,600,609 
Virgin Islands, U.S.106,290 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 148 -
- - - - - Saba, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 90 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis
GREEN 15 18 Sep 2022 00:00 202 9 thousand
- - - - Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmPuerto Rico53,662 
500-750 mmPuerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.552,746
+
Puerto Rico552,739 
Virgin Islands, U.S.07 
250-500 mmDominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.2,494,982
+
Dominican Republic64,875 
Puerto Rico2,406,752 
Virgin Islands, U.S.23,354 
100-250 mmDominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.2,939,369
+
Dominican Republic2,299,214 
Puerto Rico531,418 
British Virgin Islands25,806 
Virgin Islands, U.S.82,929 
50-100 mmTurks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico2,830,826
+
Turks and Caicos Islands1,142 
Dominican Republic2,687,398 
Puerto Rico138,665 
British Virgin Islands3,620 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 304 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 408 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 434 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 389 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 353 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 346 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 247 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 171 20 thousand
- - - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe
Blue 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 311 -
- - - - - Guadeloupe
Blue 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 373 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 226 3 thousand
- - - - Puerto Rico, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
Blue 15 18 Sep 2022 00:00 1151 6 million
- Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC