Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
16 Sep 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (16 Sep 21:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.8 m 180 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 234 km/h n.a. 1075 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

234 km/h

Up to 3.7 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormDominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat3,722,633
+
Dominican Republic603,166 
British Virgin Islands29,971 
Puerto Rico2,891,005 
Virgin Islands, U.S.106,290 
Anguilla12,768 
Saint-Martin19 
Saint-Barthélemy10,440 
Antigua and Barbuda1,810 
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis55,571 
Montserrat5,124 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 162 -
- - - - - Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmPuerto Rico125,537 
250-500 mmDominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla1,245,955
+
Dominican Republic41,322 
Puerto Rico1,185,634 
Virgin Islands, U.S.14,537 
Anguilla4,461 
100-250 mmDominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe3,965,966
+
Dominican Republic1,371,620 
British Virgin Islands709 
Puerto Rico2,372,066 
Virgin Islands, U.S.89,662 
Anguilla10,152 
Saint-Martin41,651 
Sint Maarten39,623 
Saint-Barthélemy10,440 
Saba2,013 
Saint Kitts and Nevis8,498 
Montserrat5,124 
Guadeloupe14,402 
50-100 mmDominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Haiti, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Guadeloupe3,046,777
+
Dominican Republic2,799,545 
British Virgin Islands29,407 
Virgin Islands, U.S.2,091 
Haiti61,907 
Saint Kitts and Nevis40,745 
Guadeloupe113,080 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 304 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 408 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 434 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 389 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 353 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 346 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 247 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 732 5.3 million
- - Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Haiti, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC