Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
17 Sep 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saba, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
Exposed population 600 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (17 Sep 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 148 km/h 0.7 m 311 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 234 km/h n.a. 1075 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

234 km/h

Up to 600 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Puerto Rico602,855 
Tropical StormTurks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saba, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe3,557,734
+
Turks and Caicos Islands6,092 
Dominican Republic102,878 
British Virgin Islands29,854 
Puerto Rico3,080,382 
Virgin Islands, U.S.106,290 
Saint-Martin836 
Sint Maarten22 
Saba2,013 
Antigua and Barbuda84,040 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis55,571 
Montserrat5,124 
Guadeloupe80,175 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 205 600 thousand
- - - - Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saba, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmPuerto Rico18,506 
500-750 mmPuerto Rico182,219 
250-500 mmDominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.1,358,334
+
Dominican Republic156,046 
British Virgin Islands4,432 
Puerto Rico1,171,142 
Virgin Islands, U.S.26,713 
100-250 mmDominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe5,394,252
+
Dominican Republic2,868,569 
British Virgin Islands24,873 
Puerto Rico2,311,365 
Virgin Islands, U.S.79,577 
Saint-Martin16,513 
Sint Maarten39,009 
Saint-Barthélemy5,941 
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis34,370 
Montserrat3,222 
Guadeloupe4,346 
50-100 mmDominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Haiti, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Puerto Rico, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Guadeloupe1,527,842
+
Dominican Republic1,399,918 
British Virgin Islands810 
Puerto Rico04 
Haiti32,106 
Anguilla1,118 
Saint-Martin25,136 
Sint Maarten613 
Saint-Barthélemy4,498 
Saint Kitts and Nevis21,201 
Antigua and Barbuda340 
Montserrat1,902 
Guadeloupe40,189 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 304 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 408 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 434 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 389 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 353 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 346 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 247 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 171 20 thousand
- - - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe
Blue 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 809 7 million
- Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Haiti, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Guadeloupe




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC