Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for BONNIE-22 in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago from 27 Jun 2022 21:00 UTC to 09 Jul 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22

in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	86 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (09 Jul 01:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	86 km/h	0.5 m	155 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	130 km/h	0.6 m	1240 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

130 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	27 Jun 2022 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	27 Jun 2022 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	28 Jun 2022 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	28 Jun 2022 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	29 Jun 2022 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	29 Jun 2022 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	30 Jun 2022 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	30 Jun 2022 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Jul 2022 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	01 Jul 2022 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	02 Jul 2022 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Jul 2022 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	03 Jul 2022 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	03 Jul 2022 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	04 Jul 2022 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	04 Jul 2022 12:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	05 Jul 2022 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	05 Jul 2022 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	06 Jul 2022 00:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	06 Jul 2022 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	07 Jul 2022 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	07 Jul 2022 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	08 Jul 2022 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	08 Jul 2022 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	09 Jul 2022 00:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Colombia	1,874
100-250 mm	Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama, Brazil	1,096,859	+
	Colombia	1,004,681
	Costa Rica	81,974
	Venezuela	7,562
	Panama	2,600
	Brazil	41
50-100 mm	Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil	14,447,594	+
	Mexico	190,926
	Guatemala	48,245
	Honduras	2,460
	El Salvador	7,946
	Nicaragua	269,649
	Colombia	6,679,411
	Costa Rica	2,212,686
	Venezuela	2,863,009
	Trinidad and Tobago	46,590
	Panama	917,331
	Guyana	633,187
	Suriname	25,625
	French Guiana	164,052
	Brazil	386,469

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	27 Jun 2022 00:00	120	4 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico, Costa Rica, Panama, Venezuela, Colombia, Guyana, Suriname, Brazil
2	27 Jun 2022 12:00	185	Few people			-	-	-	-	Guyana, Brazil
3	28 Jun 2022 00:00	129	-		-	-	-	-	-	Colombia, French Guiana
4	28 Jun 2022 12:00	171	-		-	-	-	-	-	Costa Rica, Panama, Brazil
5	29 Jun 2022 00:00	143	4 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico, Grenada, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Suriname, French Guiana, Colombia
6	29 Jun 2022 12:00	154	-		-	-	-	-	-	Venezuela, Colombia, Brazil
7	30 Jun 2022 00:00	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	30 Jun 2022 12:00	103	-		-	-	-	-	-	Colombia
9	01 Jul 2022 00:00	111	Few people			-	-	-	-	Mexico, Colombia
10	01 Jul 2022 12:00	130	50 thousand			-	-	-	-	Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia
11	02 Jul 2022 00:00	246	340 thousand			-	-	-	-	Honduras, Dominica, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Colombia
12	02 Jul 2022 12:00	206	-		-	-	-	-	-	Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia
13	03 Jul 2022 00:00	281	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Guyana, Colombia, Brazil
14	03 Jul 2022 12:00	212	-		-	-	-	-	-	Guatemala, Colombia
15	04 Jul 2022 00:00	147	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico, Colombia, Guyana
16	04 Jul 2022 12:00	213	Few people			-	-	-	-	Mexico, Panama, Colombia
17	05 Jul 2022 00:00	150	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico, Colombia
18	05 Jul 2022 12:00	221	-		-	-	-	-	-	Panama, Colombia
19	06 Jul 2022 00:00	206	-		-	-	-	-	-	Colombia
20	06 Jul 2022 12:00	301	-		-	-	-	-	-	Costa Rica
21	07 Jul 2022 00:00	366	-		-	-	-	-	-	Colombia, Guyana, Brazil
22	07 Jul 2022 12:00	177	-		-	-	-	-	-	Guatemala
23	08 Jul 2022 00:00	192	-		-	-	-	-	-	Venezuela
24	08 Jul 2022 12:00	162	Few people			-	-	-	-	Venezuela, Colombia
25	09 Jul 2022 00:00	504	1.1 million				-	-	-	Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Colombia, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, Brazil

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.