Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GASTON-22
in Portugal

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GASTON-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 191 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 191 km/h n.a. 143 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 212 km/h 1.7 m 375 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Sep 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 22 Sep 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 22 Sep 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 23 Sep 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Portugal
GREEN 8 23 Sep 2022 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Sep 2022 00:00 191 Few people
-
- - - Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Portugal
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

375 mm

Up to Few people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmCanada, Spain496
+
Canada331 
Spain165 
50-100 mmCanada, Spain75,837
+
Canada35,393 
Spain40,443 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2022 00:00 46 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Sep 2022 12:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2022 00:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2022 12:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 22 Sep 2022 00:00 77 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 22 Sep 2022 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 23 Sep 2022 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 23 Sep 2022 12:00 141 -
- - - - - Canada, Portugal
Blue 9 24 Sep 2022 00:00 748 110 thousand
- - - Canada, Portugal, Spain




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Newfoundland and Labrador, Pinware, Canada. This height is estimated for 21/09/2022 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21/09/2022 06:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Pinware Canada  1.1
21/09/2022 10:00 Quebec, Middle Bay Canada  0.7
21/09/2022 10:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, West St Modeste Canada  0.7
21/09/2022 10:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Red Bay Canada  0.5
20/09/2022 16:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Isle aux Mortes Canada  0.4
20/09/2022 07:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Woody Island Canada  0.4
20/09/2022 09:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Burnt Islands Canada  0.4
20/09/2022 07:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Merasheen Island Merasheen Canada  0.4
21/09/2022 10:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Lourdes Canada  0.4
20/09/2022 07:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Ramea Ramea Canada  0.4
21/09/2022 11:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Felix Cove Canada  0.4
21/09/2022 10:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Henley Harbour Canada  0.4
21/09/2022 01:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Ship Cove Canada  0.4
20/09/2022 08:00 Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Grande Miquelon Miqeulon St. Pierre and Miquelon  0.3
21/09/2022 13:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, West Bay Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 12:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Square Island Canada  0.3
20/09/2022 08:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Pass Island Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 10:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Loran Canada  0.3
20/09/2022 09:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland English Harbour West Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 15:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, North River Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 14:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Packs Harbour Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 16:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Smokey Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 16:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Indian Harbour Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 05:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Jackson's Arm Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 12:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Batteau Harbour Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 12:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Black Tickle Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 10:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Battle Harbour Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 15:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Holton Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 10:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Spear Harbour Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 06:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Canada Harbour Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 08:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Saint Anthony Canada  0.3
20/09/2022 23:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Coachman's Cove Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 00:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Victoria Cove Canada  0.3
20/09/2022 23:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Triton West Canada  0.3
20/09/2022 09:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Little Bay Island Canada  0.3
20/09/2022 09:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Beaumont Canada  0.3
20/09/2022 09:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Nipper's Harbour Canada  0.3
20/09/2022 06:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Cape Race Canada  0.3
20/09/2022 09:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Shoe Cove Canada  0.3
21/09/2022 05:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Horse Islands Horse Islands Canada  0.3
20/09/2022 09:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Port Albert Canada  0.2
20/09/2022 09:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Change Islands Canada  0.2
20/09/2022 10:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Ladle Cove Canada  0.2
20/09/2022 10:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Badger's Quay Canada  0.2
20/09/2022 10:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Greenspond Canada  0.2
20/09/2022 10:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Random Islands Ivanhoe Canada  0.2
20/09/2022 08:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Lower Island Cove Canada  0.2
20/09/2022 08:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Caplin Cove Canada  0.2
20/09/2022 10:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Old Perlican Canada  0.2
20/09/2022 10:00 Newfoundland and Labrador, Island of Newfoundland Grates Cove Canada  0.2
20/09/2022 00:00 , 'Castelo Branco' Portugal  0.1
20/09/2022 00:00 , Candelaria Portugal  0.0
20/09/2022 00:00 , 'Lajes' Portugal  0.0
20/09/2022 17:00 , Lajes Portugal  0.0
20/09/2022 00:00 , 'Ribeira Seca' Portugal  0.0
20/09/2022 00:00 , Manhenha Portugal  0.0
20/09/2022 17:00 , Santa Cruz Portugal  0.0
20/09/2022 17:00 , Flores Portugal  0.0
20/09/2022 00:00 , 'Topo' Portugal
20/09/2022 00:00 , Feteira Portugal
20/09/2022 00:00 , Praia da Vitoria Portugal
20/09/2022 00:00 , Feteiras Portugal
20/09/2022 00:00 , Caloura Portugal
20/09/2022 00:00 , Vila Franca do Campo Portugal
20/09/2022 00:00 , Ponta Garca Portugal