Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for FIONA-22 in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico from 14 Sep 2022 15:00 UTC to 24 Sep 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22

in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico

21 Sep 2022 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda, Aruba, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela
Exposed population	290 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	155 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (21 Sep 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	155 km/h	n.a.	132 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	180 km/h	n.a.	565 mm	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

180 km/h

Up to 290 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 2	Canada	167,007
CAT. 1	Canada, Bermuda	125,421	+
	Canada	61,852
	Other countries	1,565
	Bermuda	62,003
Tropical Storm	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Aruba, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela	2,217,577	+
	Canada	1,190,183
	Other countries	734,933
	Saint Pierre and Miquelon	2,575
	Aruba	103,889
	Curaçao	157,202
	Bonaire	18,397
	Venezuela	10,394

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Sep 2022 18:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
4	15 Sep 2022 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
5	15 Sep 2022 12:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Other countries
6	15 Sep 2022 18:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
7	16 Sep 2022 00:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
8	16 Sep 2022 06:00	68	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
9	16 Sep 2022 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	16 Sep 2022 18:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
11	17 Sep 2022 00:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat
12	17 Sep 2022 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
13	17 Sep 2022 12:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Saint Kitts and Nevis
14	17 Sep 2022 18:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Saba
15	18 Sep 2022 00:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Virgin Islands, U.S.
16	18 Sep 2022 06:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
17	18 Sep 2022 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.
18	18 Sep 2022 18:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
19	19 Sep 2022 00:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
20	19 Sep 2022 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
21	19 Sep 2022 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
22	19 Sep 2022 18:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic
23	20 Sep 2022 00:00	126	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic
24	20 Sep 2022 06:00	122	Few people			-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
25	20 Sep 2022 12:00	144	7 thousand			-	-	-	-	Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
26	20 Sep 2022 18:00	155	2 thousand			-	-	-	-	Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
27	21 Sep 2022 00:00	180	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
28	21 Sep 2022 06:00	166	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
29	21 Sep 2022 12:00	191	290 thousand				-	-	-	Canada, Other countries, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda, Aruba, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Canada, Venezuela, Panama	838,589	+
	Canada	666,506
	Venezuela	170,765
	Panama	1,316
50-100 mm	Canada, Bermuda, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Barbados, Colombia, Curaçao, Bonaire, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Guyana	8,092,094	+
	Canada	644,995
	Bermuda	62,003
	Dominican Republic	1,006,325
	Haiti	20,192
	Barbados	78,350
	Colombia	1,402,267
	Venezuela	3,711,107
	Curaçao	2,836
	Bonaire	22
	Trinidad and Tobago	513,583
	Panama	650,386
	Guyana	23

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 12:00	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Sep 2022 18:00	53	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Sep 2022 06:00	110	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Sep 2022 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	15 Sep 2022 18:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	16 Sep 2022 00:00	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	16 Sep 2022 06:00	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	16 Sep 2022 12:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	16 Sep 2022 18:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States
11	17 Sep 2022 00:00	155	80 thousand			-	-	-	-	Antigua and Barbuda
12	17 Sep 2022 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Montserrat
13	17 Sep 2022 12:00	107	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	17 Sep 2022 18:00	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	18 Sep 2022 00:00	160	-		-	-	-	-	-	Virgin Islands, U.S.
16	18 Sep 2022 06:00	192	60 thousand			-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
17	18 Sep 2022 12:00	211	2.4 million			-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
18	18 Sep 2022 18:00	131	690 thousand			-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico
19	19 Sep 2022 00:00	110	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Colombia, Venezuela
20	19 Sep 2022 06:00	122	320 thousand			-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic
21	19 Sep 2022 12:00	134	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic
22	19 Sep 2022 18:00	125	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Dominican Republic, Venezuela
23	20 Sep 2022 00:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	20 Sep 2022 06:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
25	20 Sep 2022 12:00	159	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
26	20 Sep 2022 18:00	162	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
27	21 Sep 2022 00:00	178	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	21 Sep 2022 06:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	21 Sep 2022 12:00	385	840 thousand			-	-	-	-	Canada, Bermuda, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Barbados, Colombia, Venezuela, Curaçao, Bonaire, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Guyana

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.