Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for FIONA-22 in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico from 14 Sep 2022 15:00 UTC to 24 Sep 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22

in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico

20 Sep 2022 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Canada, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago
Exposed population	5 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	126 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (20 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	126 km/h	n.a.	129 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	180 km/h	n.a.	565 mm	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

180 km/h

Up to 5 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	Turks and Caicos Islands	4,967
Tropical Storm	Canada, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago	320,698	+
	Canada	94
	Bahamas	293
	Turks and Caicos Islands	29,371
	Dominican Republic	119,689
	Grenada	104,238
	Trinidad and Tobago	67,011

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Sep 2022 18:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
4	15 Sep 2022 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
5	15 Sep 2022 12:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Other countries
6	15 Sep 2022 18:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
7	16 Sep 2022 00:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
8	16 Sep 2022 06:00	68	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
9	16 Sep 2022 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	16 Sep 2022 18:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada
11	17 Sep 2022 00:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat
12	17 Sep 2022 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
13	17 Sep 2022 12:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Saint Kitts and Nevis
14	17 Sep 2022 18:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Saba
15	18 Sep 2022 00:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Virgin Islands, U.S.
16	18 Sep 2022 06:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
17	18 Sep 2022 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.
18	18 Sep 2022 18:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
19	19 Sep 2022 00:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Canada, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
20	19 Sep 2022 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
21	19 Sep 2022 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
22	19 Sep 2022 18:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic
23	20 Sep 2022 00:00	176	5 thousand			-	-	-	-	Canada, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Turks and Caicos Islands, Trinidad and Tobago, Venezuela	1,251,580	+
	Turks and Caicos Islands	7,373
	Venezuela	6,320
	Trinidad and Tobago	1,237,886
50-100 mm	Canada, United States, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Colombia	3,948,998	+
	Canada	323,857
	United States	1,372
	Bahamas	293
	Turks and Caicos Islands	26,965
	Dominican Republic	1,216,376
	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	1,536
	Grenada	53,758
	Venezuela	1,906,244
	Trinidad and Tobago	117,114
	Panama	162,557
	Colombia	138,920

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 12:00	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Sep 2022 18:00	53	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Sep 2022 06:00	110	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Sep 2022 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	15 Sep 2022 18:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	16 Sep 2022 00:00	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	16 Sep 2022 06:00	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	16 Sep 2022 12:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	16 Sep 2022 18:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States
11	17 Sep 2022 00:00	155	80 thousand			-	-	-	-	Antigua and Barbuda
12	17 Sep 2022 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Montserrat
13	17 Sep 2022 12:00	107	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	17 Sep 2022 18:00	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	18 Sep 2022 00:00	160	-		-	-	-	-	-	Virgin Islands, U.S.
16	18 Sep 2022 06:00	192	60 thousand			-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
17	18 Sep 2022 12:00	211	2.4 million			-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
18	18 Sep 2022 18:00	131	690 thousand			-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico
19	19 Sep 2022 00:00	110	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Colombia, Venezuela
20	19 Sep 2022 06:00	122	320 thousand			-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic
21	19 Sep 2022 12:00	134	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic
22	19 Sep 2022 18:00	125	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Dominican Republic, Venezuela
23	20 Sep 2022 00:00	391	1.3 million			-	-	-	-	Canada, United States, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Colombia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.