Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TOKAGE-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TOKAGE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Russia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (22 Aug 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.6 m 76 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 1.3 m 270 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

162 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormRussia3,014 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Aug 2022 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Aug 2022 12:00 133 -
- - - - - Russia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmRussia63 
50-100 mmRussia48,961 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Aug 2022 06:00 69 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Aug 2022 12:00 418 Few people
- - - - Russia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Sakhalinskaya, Ten'gi, Russia. This height is estimated for 23/08/2022 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23/08/2022 23:00 Sakhalinskaya, Ten'gi Russia  0.9
23/08/2022 19:00 Sakhalinskaya, Pomyt Russia  0.8
23/08/2022 18:00 Khabarovskiy, Chkalov Russia  0.8
23/08/2022 19:00 Khabarovskiy, Krasovskoye Russia  0.8
23/08/2022 17:00 Khabarovskiy, Avri Russia  0.8
23/08/2022 20:00 Khabarovskiy, Mochenga Russia  0.8
23/08/2022 17:00 Khabarovskiy, Avry Russia  0.8
23/08/2022 20:00 Khabarovskiy, Barki Russia  0.8
24/08/2022 03:00 Khabarovskiy, Oremif Russia  0.7
24/08/2022 01:00 Khabarovskiy, Alekseyevka Russia  0.7
23/08/2022 17:00 Khabarovskiy, Zarya Russia  0.7
24/08/2022 04:00 Khabarovskiy, Chardbakh Russia  0.7
23/08/2022 00:00 Sakhalinskaya, Russa Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 13:00 Sakhalinskaya, Mivka Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 03:00 Sakhalinskaya, Promyslovaya Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 13:00 Sakhalinskaya, Chayvo Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 13:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kaygan Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 13:00 Sakhalinskaya, Nabil' Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 14:00 Sakhalinskaya, Tygmych Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 02:00 Sakhalinskaya, Gastello Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 13:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kaygan Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 13:00 Sakhalinskaya, Dagi Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 13:00 Sakhalinskaya, Tropto Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 12:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kiri Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 12:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kongi Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 12:00 Sakhalinskaya, Moskolvo Russia  0.4
23/08/2022 03:00 Sakhalinskaya, Lakh Russia  0.3
23/08/2022 02:00 Sakhalinskaya, Porechye Russia  0.3
23/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Zaozernaya Russia  0.3
23/08/2022 01:00 Sakhalinskaya, Beregovaya Russia  0.3
23/08/2022 09:00 Sakhalinskaya, Buruny Russia  0.3
23/08/2022 01:00 Sakhalinskaya, Tayezhnoye Russia  0.3
22/08/2022 23:00 Sakhalinskaya, Aniva Russia  0.3
23/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Hoyamuke Russia  0.3
24/08/2022 02:00 Kamchatskaya, Kronoki Russia  0.3
24/08/2022 08:00 Kamchatskaya, Ostrovnaya Russia  0.3
24/08/2022 08:00 Kamchatskaya, Ostrovnoye Russia  0.3
23/08/2022 05:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kirillovo Russia  0.3
23/08/2022 03:00 Sakhalinskaya, Obryvistoye Russia  0.3
23/08/2022 14:00 Khabarovskiy, Grossevichi Russia  0.3
22/08/2022 22:00 Sakhalinskaya, Novotambovskoye Russia  0.3
24/08/2022 08:00 Kamchatskaya, Ust-Kotelnoye Russia  0.3
24/08/2022 06:00 Kamchatskaya, Vilyuy Russia  0.3
23/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Ayaushi Russia  0.3
23/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Nosamu Russia  0.3
23/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Enrunkomanai Russia  0.3
22/08/2022 22:00 Sakhalinskaya, Utesovka Russia  0.2
24/08/2022 07:00 Kamchatskaya, Kalakhtyrka Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 15:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Horodomari Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 18:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Monshizu Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 02:00 Sakhalinskaya, Svobodnoye Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Moruji Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 08:00 Sakhalinskaya, Dalnyaya Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 17:00 Sakhalinskaya, Artyushino Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 16:00 Hokkaido, Numaura Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 18:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kitova Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 23:00 Sakhalinskaya, Yevstafyovo Russia  0.2
24/08/2022 01:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kamenistyy Russia  0.2
24/08/2022 01:00 Sakhalinskaya, Asahigawa Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 12:00 Hokkaido, Kotan Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 14:00 Miyagi, Honshu Gamo Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 12:00 Hokkaido, Nishiura Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 17:00 Miyagi, Honshu Kita-Kama Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 17:00 Miyagi, Honshu Fujitsuka Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 17:00 Miyagi, Honshu Ido Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 14:00 Miyagi, Honshu Hamaichi Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 02:00 Miyagi, Honshu Uenodai Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 09:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Soya-misaki Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 15:00 Hokkaido, Kurosaki Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 15:00 Hokkaido, Banyamai Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 23:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Kuroiwa Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 15:00 Sakhalinskaya, Galkino Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 14:00 Miyagi, Honshu Ainokama Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 19:00 Sakhalinskaya, Vasilyevo Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 04:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kunashir / Kunashiri Oshiusu Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 15:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Mineoka Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 03:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Akkeshi Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 03:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Shinryu Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 14:00 Fukushima, Honshu Tsurishi Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 21:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Ochikiri Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 21:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Esashi Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 08:00 Fukushima, Honshu Kayahama Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 08:00 Miyagi, Miyato-jima Tsukihama Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 04:00 Sakhalinskaya, Iturup / Etorofu Riyaushi Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 05:00 Sakhalinskaya, Kunashir / Kunashiri Gordeyevka Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 08:00 Chiba, Honshu Katakai Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 10:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Omi Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 10:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Hamatsuga Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 10:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Aotsuka Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 10:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Koya Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 04:00 Sakhalinskaya, Iturup / Etorofu Mysovaya Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 20:00 Sakhalinskaya, Onekotan Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 18:00 Aomori, Honshu Hashimukai Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 22:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Kami-notsuka Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 04:00 Sakhalinskaya, Iturup / Etorofu Iodnyy Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 08:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Tomoshiri Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 04:00 Sakhalinskaya, Iturup / Etorofu Okeanskiy Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 23:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Rukushibetsu Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 07:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Nishi-wada Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 18:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Nishikioka Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 06:00 Miyagi, Nitoda Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 06:00 Miyagi, Odomari Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 06:00 Miyagi, Ikenohama Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 18:00 Aomori, Honshu Sabishiro Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Iturup / Etorofu Shamambe Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 09:00 Sakhalinskaya, Urup Kastrikum Russia  0.2
22/08/2022 18:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Noboribetsu Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 14:00 Chiba, Honshu Hasunuma Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 18:00 Iwate, Honshu Kadonohama Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 18:00 Iwate, Honshu Kawajiri Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 18:00 Iwate, Honshu Kawasiri Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 21:00 Aomori, Honshu Funaoka Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 18:00 Aomori, Honshu Origasa Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 18:00 Aomori, Honshu Mukawame Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 08:00 Fukushima, Honshu Minami-Ibi Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 09:00 Sakhalinskaya, Iturup / Etorofu Medvezhye Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 10:00 Sakhalinskaya, Simushir Kostochko Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 04:00 Sakhalinskaya, Habomai-shoto Kafenotsu Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 07:00 Sakhalinskaya, Yuri-to Sunahama Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 06:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Fushiko-tobuto Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 12:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Kamigama Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 03:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Chipira Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 10:00 Sakhalinskaya, Simushir Kraternyy Russia  0.2
23/08/2022 06:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Nassafu Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 06:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Bekkai Japan  0.2
25/08/2022 05:00 Akita, Tobi-shima Hoki Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 18:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Todohokke Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 21:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Netanai Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 06:00 Iwate, Honshu Noda Japan  0.2
23/08/2022 04:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Ogifushi Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 21:00 Aomori, Honshu Ohata Japan  0.2
22/08/2022 18:00 Iwate, Honshu Taneichi Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 18:00 Iwate, Honshu Honnami Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 18:00 Iwate, Honshu Shiromae Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 20:00 Aomori, Honshu Shimizu Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 18:00 Iwate, Honshu Miyako Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 12:00 Fukushima, Honshu Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 12:00 Fukushima, Honshu Ide Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 21:00 Aomori, Honshu Tanosawa Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 05:00 Miyagi, Aji Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 05:00 Miyagi, Futawatashi Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 00:00 Iwate, Honshu Shimanokoshi Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Ogushi Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Natsumi Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 18:00 Iwate, Honshu Shimanokoe Japan  0.1
25/08/2022 05:00 Akita, Honshu Monzen Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 14:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Toyooka Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 14:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Kuji Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 14:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Mizuki Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 01:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Nakaminato Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 22:00 Hokkaido, Inahomisaki Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Miyagi, Honshu Tsukihama Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 10:00 Fukushima, Honshu Obama Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Miyagi, Honshu Ogatsu Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Miyagi, Honshu Funagoshi Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Miyagi, Honshu Tatsuhama Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Miyagi, Honshu Ohama Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Miyagi, Honshu Kuwahama Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Miyagi, Honshu Kumazawa Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Miyagi, Honshu Ommaehama Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Miyagi, Izushima Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Miyagi, Terama Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Ogitsu Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Tomobe Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Tajirihama Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Kawaziri Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Kawajiri Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 14:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Ono-Yasashi Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 14:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Isohara Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 14:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Shuku Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 00:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Kyochikama Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 21:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Toi Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 08:00 Miyagi, Honshu Osu Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Mobetsu Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Hakodate Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 09:00 Fukushima, Honshu Shimo-Kitabo Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 01:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Shirane Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Iwate, Honshu Tomari Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Iwate, Honshu Kogakuchi Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Iwate, Honshu Kurosaki Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 00:00 Miyagi, Honshu Minato Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 00:00 Miyagi, Honshu Natari Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 00:00 Miyagi, Honshu Tomarihama Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Miyagi, Honshu Kesennuma Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 01:00 Ibaraki, Honshu Yatabe Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 21:00 Fukushima, Honshu Ohahama Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 21:00 Fukushima, Honshu Ena Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 21:00 Fukushima, Honshu Toyoma Japan  0.1
25/08/2022 05:00 Aomori, Honshu Sawabe Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 11:00 Chiba, Honshu Tokawacho Japan  0.1
22/08/2022 11:00 Chiba, Honshu Inuwaka Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Chiba, Honshu Choshi Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 23:00 Hokkaido, Hokkaido Shiriuchi Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Chiba, Honshu Seto Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Chiba, Honshu Kubo Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Chiba, Honshu Shirako Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Chiba, Honshu Chikura Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Chiba, Honshu Wada Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Chiba, Honshu Shiramazu Japan  0.1
23/08/2022 04:00 Chiba, Honshu Okawa Japan  0.1