Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TOKAGE-22
Off-shore
26 Aug 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TOKAGE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Russia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 162 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.3 m (23 Aug 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 162 km/h 1.3 m 270 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 1.3 m 270 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormRussia10,441 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Aug 2022 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Aug 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Aug 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Aug 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Aug 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Aug 2022 12:00 122 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 7 23 Aug 2022 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 8 24 Aug 2022 00:00 140 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 9 24 Aug 2022 06:00 162 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 10 24 Aug 2022 12:00 148 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 11 24 Aug 2022 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 12 25 Aug 2022 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 13 25 Aug 2022 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 25 Aug 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 25 Aug 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 26 Aug 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 26 Aug 2022 06:00 108 -
- - - - - Russia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

270 mm

Up to 210 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmRussia, Japan214,463
+
Russia2,458 
Japan212,005 
50-100 mmRussia, Japan2,825,997
+
Russia369,859 
Japan2,456,138 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Aug 2022 06:00 69 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Aug 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Aug 2022 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Aug 2022 00:00 57 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Aug 2022 06:00 92 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Aug 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 23 Aug 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 24 Aug 2022 00:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Aug 2022 06:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 24 Aug 2022 12:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 24 Aug 2022 18:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 25 Aug 2022 00:00 63 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 25 Aug 2022 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 25 Aug 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 25 Aug 2022 18:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 26 Aug 2022 00:00 46 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 26 Aug 2022 06:00 195 150 thousand
- - - - Russia, Japan




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.3 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
1.0 - 2.0 mRussia, Japan10,872
+
Russia384 
Japan10,487 
0.5 - 1.0 mRussia, Japan148,674
+
Russia22,240 
Japan126,434 
0.25 - 0.5 mRussia, Japan1,054,555
+
Russia26,019 
Japan1,028,535 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC