Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DARBY-22
Off-shore
15 Jul 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DARBY-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (13 Jul 19:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 101 km/h 0.4 m 380 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.4 m 380 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Jul 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Jul 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 10 Jul 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Jul 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 11 Jul 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 11 Jul 2022 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 12 Jul 2022 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 12 Jul 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 13 Jul 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 13 Jul 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 14 Jul 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 14 Jul 2022 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 15 Jul 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 15 Jul 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, United States78,963
+
Mexico429 
United States78,534 
50-100 mmMexico, United States238,314
+
Mexico57,923 
United States180,390 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Jul 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Jul 2022 12:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 10 Jul 2022 00:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 Jul 2022 12:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 11 Jul 2022 00:00 92 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 11 Jul 2022 12:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 12 Jul 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 12 Jul 2022 12:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 13 Jul 2022 00:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 13 Jul 2022 12:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 14 Jul 2022 00:00 92 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 14 Jul 2022 12:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 15 Jul 2022 00:00 80 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 15 Jul 2022 12:00 312 -
- - - - - Mexico, United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14/07/2022 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 0.25m) based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14/07/2022 21:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2