Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for AERE-22 in Japan from 30 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC to 06 Jul 2022 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AERE-22

in Japan

06 Jul 2022 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AERE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	79 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (07 Jul 01:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	79 km/h	0.9 m	209 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	94 km/h	1.7 m	580 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

94 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	30 Jun 2022 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Jun 2022 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	01 Jul 2022 00:00	72	-		-	-	-	-	-	Hong Kong, China, Paracel Islands
4	01 Jul 2022 12:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan, China, Hong Kong, Macao, Paracel Islands
5	02 Jul 2022 00:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan, Hong Kong, China, Macao
6	02 Jul 2022 12:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan, China
7	03 Jul 2022 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	03 Jul 2022 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	04 Jul 2022 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	04 Jul 2022 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	05 Jul 2022 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	05 Jul 2022 12:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	06 Jul 2022 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	06 Jul 2022 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Russia, China, North Korea, Vietnam, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau	12,154,573	+
	Russia	129,718
	China	7,171,146
	North Korea	4,214,434
	Vietnam	80,500
	Philippines	531,726
	Micronesia	7,125
	Palau	19,922
50-100 mm	Russia, China, North Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia	146,637,228	+
	Russia	764,912
	China	81,905,899
	North Korea	8,154,938
	Japan	4,784,643
	Taiwan	809
	Vietnam	385,065
	Philippines	50,618,932
	Micronesia	1,836
	Palau	1,225
	Malaysia	18,963

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	30 Jun 2022 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	South Korea, North Korea, China
2	30 Jun 2022 12:00	165	Few people		-	-	-	-	North Korea, China, Paracel Islands, Philippines
3	01 Jul 2022 00:00	196	-	-	-	-	-	-	North Korea, China, Paracel Islands, Philippines
4	01 Jul 2022 12:00	212	280 thousand		-	-	-	-	China, North Korea
5	02 Jul 2022 00:00	257	2.1 million		-	-	-	-	China
6	02 Jul 2022 12:00	190	1.5 million		-	-	-	-	China, Japan, Hong Kong
7	03 Jul 2022 00:00	163	80 thousand		-	-	-	-	China, Japan, Taiwan
8	03 Jul 2022 12:00	147	3 thousand		-	-	-	-	China, Japan
9	04 Jul 2022 00:00	224	330 thousand		-	-	-	-	China, Taiwan, Philippines
10	04 Jul 2022 12:00	173	140 thousand		-	-	-	-	Japan, China
11	05 Jul 2022 00:00	173	100 thousand		-	-	-	-	Japan, China, Taiwan, Philippines
12	05 Jul 2022 12:00	445	5.9 million		-	-	-	-	China, Japan
13	06 Jul 2022 00:00	281	1.9 million			-	-	-	China, Philippines
14	06 Jul 2022 12:00	230	12.2 million		-	-	-	-	Russia, China, North Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.9 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2022 12:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.