Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for CELIA-22 in Mexico from 16 Jun 2022 21:00 UTC to 28 Jun 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CELIA-22

in Mexico

18 Jun 2022 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CELIA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	97 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (18 Jun 17:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	97 km/h	0.5 m	222 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	162 km/h	0.6 m	621 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

162 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	16 Jun 2022 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Jun 2022 00:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Jun 2022 06:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Jun 2022 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 Jun 2022 18:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	18 Jun 2022 00:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	18 Jun 2022 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	18 Jun 2022 12:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Nicaragua	58,509
100-250 mm	Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama	7,932,416	+
	Mexico	1,564,914
	Belize	53,261
	Guatemala	1,659,236
	Honduras	439,038
	Nicaragua	3,399,395
	Costa Rica	307,242
	Panama	509,327
50-100 mm	Mexico, United States, Cuba, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama	28,629,183	+
	Mexico	7,701,920
	United States	514,987
	Cuba	15,333
	Belize	268,577
	Guatemala	8,951,557
	Honduras	3,777,365
	Nicaragua	2,397,476
	El Salvador	1,444,034
	Colombia	76,993
	Costa Rica	3,394,924
	Panama	86,012

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	16 Jun 2022 18:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Jun 2022 00:00	212	-		-	-	-	-	-	Costa Rica
3	17 Jun 2022 06:00	243	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Jun 2022 12:00	138	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 Jun 2022 18:00	172	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	18 Jun 2022 00:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	18 Jun 2022 06:00	138	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	18 Jun 2022 12:00	392	8 million				-	-	-	Mexico, United States, Cuba, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Texas, Beach City, United States. This height is estimated for 19/06/2022 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2022 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	19/06/2022 16:00	Texas, Beach City	United States	0.3
	19/06/2022 15:00	Texas, Cedar Point	United States	0.3
	19/06/2022 15:00	Texas, Seabrook	United States	0.3
	19/06/2022 15:00	Texas, Smith Point	United States	0.3
	19/06/2022 12:00	Florida, Nine Mile	United States	0.3
	19/06/2022 09:00	Texas, El Campo Club Community	United States	0.3
	19/06/2022 15:00	Louisiana, Cypremort Point	United States	0.3
	19/06/2022 12:00	Louisiana, Cameron	United States	0.3
	19/06/2022 12:00	Texas, North Beach	United States	0.3
	18/06/2022 22:00	Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo	Nicaragua	0.3
	17/06/2022 18:00	Florida, Feather Sound	United States	0.3
	18/06/2022 23:00	Quintana Roo, Calderita	Mexico	0.3
	19/06/2022 11:00	Texas, Caplen	United States	0.3
	19/06/2022 11:00	Texas, Gilchrist	United States	0.3
	19/06/2022 12:00	Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.3
	18/06/2022 23:00	Corozal, Corozal	Belize	0.3
	19/06/2022 11:00	Tamaulipas, El Mezquite	Mexico	0.3
	19/06/2022 12:00	Texas, Crystal Beach	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 12:00	Texas, Patton	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 18:00	Gracias a Dios, Irlaya	Honduras	0.2
	19/06/2022 13:00	Texas, Port Ingleside	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 17:00	Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya	Honduras	0.2
	19/06/2022 18:00	Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios	Honduras	0.2
	19/06/2022 12:00	Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 18:00	Toledo, Cattle Landing	Belize	0.2
	19/06/2022 12:00	Louisiana, Cocodrie	United States	0.2
	18/06/2022 06:00	Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real	Mexico	0.2
	19/06/2022 16:00	Belize, Belize City	Belize	0.2
	18/06/2022 23:00	Corozal, Santeneja	Belize	0.2
	19/06/2022 16:00	Veracruz, Buen Pais	Mexico	0.2
	19/06/2022 12:00	Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 05:00	Veracruz, Anton Lizardo	Mexico	0.2
	19/06/2022 18:00	Pinar del Rio, El Hondon	Cuba	0.2
	19/06/2022 11:00	Texas, Quintana	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 08:00	Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 18:00	Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan	Honduras	0.2
	19/06/2022 05:00	Veracruz, Veracruz	Mexico	0.2
	19/06/2022 18:00	Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena	Honduras	0.2
	19/06/2022 18:00	Gracias a Dios, Huarta	Honduras	0.2
	19/06/2022 17:00	Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal	Honduras	0.2
	19/06/2022 17:00	Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff	Honduras	0.2
	19/06/2022 17:00	Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca	Honduras	0.2
	19/06/2022 12:00	Florida, Apalachicola	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 16:00	Colon, Puerto Castilla	Honduras	0.2
	19/06/2022 16:00	Colon, Empalme	Honduras	0.2
	19/06/2022 10:00	Tamaulipas, El Mezquital	Mexico	0.2
	19/06/2022 17:00	Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro	Belize	0.2
	19/06/2022 18:00	Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano	Honduras	0.2
	19/06/2022 18:00	Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico	Mexico	0.2
	19/06/2022 09:00	Tamaulipas, El Porvenir	Mexico	0.2
	19/06/2022 18:00	Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico	Belize	0.2
	19/06/2022 11:00	Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla	Nicaragua	0.2
	19/06/2022 11:00	Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel	Nicaragua	0.2
	19/06/2022 07:00	Atlantico Norte, Tuapi	Nicaragua	0.2
	19/06/2022 16:00	Quintana Roo, Majahual	Mexico	0.2
	19/06/2022 17:00	Veracruz, Tecolutla	Mexico	0.2
	19/06/2022 07:00	Atlantico Norte, Huahua	Nicaragua	0.2
	19/06/2022 08:00	Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover	Nicaragua	0.2
	19/06/2022 17:00	Veracruz, La Guadalupe	Mexico	0.2
	19/06/2022 10:00	Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas	Mexico	0.2
	19/06/2022 15:00	Veracruz, Monte Gordo	Mexico	0.2
	19/06/2022 17:00	Quintana Roo, El Placer	Mexico	0.2
	18/06/2022 04:00	Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	19/06/2022 15:00	Veracruz, El Laurel	Mexico	0.2
	17/06/2022 16:00	Florida, Punta Rassa	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 05:00	Louisiana, West Point	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 10:00	Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi	Nicaragua	0.2
	19/06/2022 08:00	Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 08:00	Louisiana, Grand Isle	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 10:00	Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande	Nicaragua	0.2
	19/06/2022 17:00	Pinar del Rio, La Furnia	Cuba	0.2
	17/06/2022 16:00	Florida, Tierra Verde	United States	0.2
	17/06/2022 16:00	Florida, Bayway	United States	0.2
	17/06/2022 16:00	Florida, Lakewood Estates	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 18:00	Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga	Cuba	0.2
	19/06/2022 05:00	Louisiana, Breton	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 10:00	Louisiana, Port Fourchon	United States	0.2
	18/06/2022 07:00	Valle, Puerto Grande	Honduras	0.2
	18/06/2022 07:00	Valle, El Moray	Honduras	0.2
	17/06/2022 16:00	Florida, Bahia Shores	United States	0.2
	17/06/2022 16:00	Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 15:00	Florida, Dry Tortugas Fort Jefferson	United States	0.2
	17/06/2022 16:00	Florida, Fort De Soto	United States	0.2
	17/06/2022 16:00	Florida, Anna Maria	United States	0.2
	17/06/2022 16:00	Florida, Holmes Beach	United States	0.2
	17/06/2022 16:00	Florida, Ilexhurst	United States	0.2
	18/06/2022 09:00	Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 11:00	Louisiana, Port Eads	United States	0.2
	18/06/2022 08:00	Florida, Boca Grande	United States	0.2
	18/06/2022 07:00	Valle, El Ajustillo	Honduras	0.2
	18/06/2022 07:00	Valle, Las Piletas	Honduras	0.2
	19/06/2022 12:00	Louisiana, South Pass	United States	0.2
	19/06/2022 08:00	Sinaloa, Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	19/06/2022 16:00	Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones	Panama	0.1
	18/06/2022 17:00	Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva	United States	0.1
	18/06/2022 17:00	Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert	United States	0.1
	18/06/2022 19:00	Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora	Mexico	0.1
	19/06/2022 18:00	Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida	Panama	0.1
	19/06/2022 16:00	Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite	Panama	0.1
	19/06/2022 09:00	Sonora, Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	19/06/2022 16:00	Bocas del Toro, Lennond	Panama	0.1
	19/06/2022 16:00	Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas	Panama	0.1
	19/06/2022 16:00	Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro	Panama	0.1
	19/06/2022 16:00	Bocas del Toro, Big Creek	Panama	0.1
	19/06/2022 16:00	Bocas del Toro, Caremero	Panama	0.1
	19/06/2022 18:00	Limon, Barra	Costa Rica	0.1
	19/06/2022 18:00	Limon, Colorado	Costa Rica	0.1
	19/06/2022 18:00	Limon, Doce Millas	Costa Rica	0.1
	19/06/2022 09:00	Sonora, San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	19/06/2022 18:00	Atlantico Sur, Amerisco	Nicaragua	0.1
	19/06/2022 17:00	Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point	Nicaragua	0.1
	19/06/2022 17:00	Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda	Nicaragua	0.1
	19/06/2022 17:00	Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island	Nicaragua	0.1
	19/06/2022 10:00	Sonora, Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	18/06/2022 06:00	Valle, Gualora	Honduras	0.1
	18/06/2022 04:00	Escuintla, Sipacate	Guatemala	0.1
	18/06/2022 01:00	Leon, Linda Vista	Nicaragua	0.1
	18/06/2022 06:00	Escuintla, El Naranjo	Guatemala	0.1
	19/06/2022 08:00	Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	19/06/2022 08:00	Baja California Sur, Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	19/06/2022 07:00	Baja California Sur, Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	18/06/2022 04:00	Escuintla, La Barrita	Guatemala	0.1
	19/06/2022 13:00	Puntarenas, Gigante	Costa Rica	0.1
	18/06/2022 01:00	Guanacaste, El Jobo	Costa Rica	0.1
	19/06/2022 07:00	Baja California Sur, San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	18/06/2022 06:00	Escuintla, Iztapa	Guatemala	0.1
	19/06/2022 08:00	Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	18/06/2022 06:00	Santa Rosa, Papaturro	Guatemala	0.1
	18/06/2022 06:00	Escuintla, San Jose	Guatemala	0.1
	17/06/2022 02:00	Chiriqui, Batipa	Panama	0.1
	19/06/2022 08:00	Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	19/06/2022 08:00	Baja California Sur, El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	19/06/2022 03:00	Puntarenas, San Lucas	Costa Rica	0.1
	19/06/2022 02:00	Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	17/06/2022 06:00	Bocas del Toro, Boquita	Panama	0.1
	19/06/2022 04:00	Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.1
	19/06/2022 08:00	Baja California Sur, El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	19/06/2022 04:00	Oaxaca, Garrapateras	Mexico	0.1
	19/06/2022 17:00	Oaxaca, Bajos de Chila	Mexico	0.1
	17/06/2022 09:00	Puntarenas, Esterillo Este	Costa Rica	0.1
	17/06/2022 09:00	Puntarenas, Bejuco	Costa Rica	0.1
	19/06/2022 16:00	Oaxaca, Puerto Angel	Mexico	0.1
	17/06/2022 08:00	Puntarenas, Esterillos Este	Costa Rica	0.1
	17/06/2022 03:00	Bocas del Toro, Isla Torta	Panama	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.