Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for AGATHA-22
in Mexico
29 May 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AGATHA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 184 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (29 May 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 184 km/h 0.4 m 330 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.6 m 1019 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 May 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico280,875 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 28 May 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 May 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 May 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 May 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 29 May 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 29 May 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 29 May 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 May 2022 18:00 205 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

1019 mm

Up to 2.2 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 May 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmMexico153 
500-750 mmMexico37,389 
250-500 mmMexico944,117 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala1,249,214
+
Mexico1,205,924 
Guatemala43,289 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala1,773,926
+
Mexico1,591,783 
Guatemala182,142 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 28 May 2022 00:00 198 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 28 May 2022 06:00 317 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 28 May 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 28 May 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 29 May 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 29 May 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 29 May 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 May 2022 18:00 956 2.2 million
- Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Florida, Bon Terra, United States. This height is estimated for 01/06/2022 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 May 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Bon Terra United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Flagler Beach United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Daytona Beach Shores United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Anastasia United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Villano Beach United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, South Ponte Vedra Beach United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Ponte Vedra Beach United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Jacksonville Beach United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Atlantic Beach United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Amelia City United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Franklintown United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, American Beach United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Fernandina Beach United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Georgia, Greyfield United States  0.6
01/06/2022 18:00 Georgia, Raccoon Bluff United States  0.6
30/05/2022 05:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.4
30/05/2022 15:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.4
30/05/2022 06:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.4
30/05/2022 14:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.4
30/05/2022 07:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.3
30/05/2022 09:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.3
30/05/2022 13:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.3
30/05/2022 06:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.3
30/05/2022 13:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.3
30/05/2022 14:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.3
31/05/2022 06:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.3
31/05/2022 06:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.3
31/05/2022 05:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.3
31/05/2022 05:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.3
29/05/2022 21:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.3
31/05/2022 04:00 Louisiana, North Side United States  0.2
31/05/2022 04:00 Louisiana, English Lookout United States  0.2
30/05/2022 05:00 Florida, Bay View United States  0.2
31/05/2022 05:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
31/05/2022 05:00 Mississippi, Bay St Louis United States  0.2
31/05/2022 05:00 Mississippi, Henderson Point United States  0.2
01/06/2022 16:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
01/06/2022 16:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
31/05/2022 05:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
29/05/2022 19:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 11:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
31/05/2022 05:00 Mississippi, Pass Christian United States  0.2
31/05/2022 05:00 Mississippi, White Harbor United States  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
30/05/2022 00:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 15:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 15:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 15:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 15:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 15:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 15:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.2
30/05/2022 07:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 10:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
31/05/2022 05:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.2
31/05/2022 06:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 12:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
31/05/2022 07:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.2
01/06/2022 13:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.2
01/06/2022 15:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Tobobe Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Ensenada de Punta Avispa Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.2
31/05/2022 08:00 Florida, Live Oak Island United States  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Limon, Doce Millas Costa Rica  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 15:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Hill Top Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Shingle Hill Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Alto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Orange Hill Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Slave Hill Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Atto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres San Luis Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Obrero Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de Providencia Morris Hill Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.2
01/06/2022 13:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.2
29/05/2022 21:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 01:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 16:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.2
30/05/2022 02:00 Alabama, Bellefontaine United States  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
31/05/2022 04:00 Mississippi, Mississippi City United States  0.2
31/05/2022 04:00 Mississippi, Handsboro United States  0.2
01/06/2022 02:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
30/05/2022 02:00 Mississippi, Edgewater Park United States  0.2
30/05/2022 02:00 Mississippi, Beauvoir United States  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.2
30/05/2022 22:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.2
30/05/2022 03:00 Alabama, Bayleys Corner United States  0.2
30/05/2022 03:00 Alabama, Mon Louis United States  0.2
31/05/2022 06:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.1
30/05/2022 03:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.1
30/05/2022 10:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
31/05/2022 08:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
30/05/2022 20:00 Oaxaca, Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 , Grand Cayman Battle Ground Cayman Islands  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, West Point United States  0.1
01/06/2022 15:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
01/06/2022 15:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Pinar del Rio, La Furnia Cuba  0.1
01/06/2022 16:00 Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.1
01/06/2022 10:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Fort Myers Beach United States  0.1
29/05/2022 19:00 Oaxaca, Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Cudjoe Key United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Summerland Key United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Boca Chica Key Big Coppitt Key United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Big Pine Key Big Pine United States  0.1
30/05/2022 07:00 Sonora, La Choya Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Sugarloaf Key Pirates Cove United States  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Florida, Marathon Shores United States  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Florida, Key Colony Beach United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Bay Point United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Sugarloaf Key Perky United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Lower Matecumbe Key Craig Island United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Upper Matecumbe Key Matecumbe United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Dry Tortugas Fort Jefferson United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Duck Key United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Long Key Layton United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Valhalla United States  0.1
30/05/2022 01:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
30/05/2022 06:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.1
30/05/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Boquita Panama  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Breton United States  0.1
29/05/2022 21:00 Puntarenas, Esterillo Este Costa Rica  0.1
29/05/2022 21:00 Puntarenas, Bejuco Costa Rica  0.1
01/06/2022 15:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
01/06/2022 15:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
01/06/2022 01:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
30/05/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Isla Torta Panama  0.1
01/06/2022 06:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.1
30/05/2022 12:00 Escuintla, La Barrita Guatemala  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Grand Isle United States  0.1
01/06/2022 06:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
30/05/2022 02:00 Alabama, Heron Bay United States  0.1
30/05/2022 02:00 Alabama, Alabama Port United States  0.1
31/05/2022 19:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
31/05/2022 21:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
01/06/2022 07:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Port Fourchon United States  0.1
29/05/2022 22:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.1
30/05/2022 05:00 Chiriqui, Boca Toro Panama  0.1
01/06/2022 12:00 Escuintla, San Jose Guatemala  0.1
29/05/2022 19:00 Michoacan de Ocampo, Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 12:00 Escuintla, Iztapa Guatemala  0.1
01/06/2022 12:00 Santa Rosa, Papaturro Guatemala  0.1
01/06/2022 06:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 10:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Captiva United States  0.1
01/06/2022 10:00 Florida, Sanibel Island Wulfert United States  0.1
30/05/2022 20:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.1
30/05/2022 20:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.1
30/05/2022 20:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.1
30/05/2022 20:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.1
30/05/2022 20:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.1
30/05/2022 20:00 Florida, Fort De Soto United States  0.1
30/05/2022 20:00 Florida, Anna Maria United States  0.1
30/05/2022 20:00 Florida, Holmes Beach United States  0.1
30/05/2022 20:00 Florida, Ilexhurst United States  0.1
01/06/2022 10:00 Florida, Boca Grande United States  0.1