Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for AGATHA-22
in Mexico
30 May 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AGATHA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 187 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (31 May 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 187 km/h 0.5 m 253 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.6 m 1019 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

198 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 May 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Mexico16,598 
Tropical StormMexico275,045 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 28 May 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 May 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 May 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 May 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 29 May 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 29 May 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 29 May 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 May 2022 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 30 May 2022 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 30 May 2022 06:00 198 20 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 May 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmMexico22,573 
250-500 mmMexico654,382 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala, El Salvador1,218,671
+
Mexico1,214,511 
Guatemala1,506 
El Salvador2,654 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, El Salvador2,735,861
+
Mexico2,313,092 
Guatemala421,178 
El Salvador1,590 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 28 May 2022 00:00 198 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 28 May 2022 06:00 317 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 28 May 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 28 May 2022 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 29 May 2022 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 29 May 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 29 May 2022 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 May 2022 18:00 330 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 30 May 2022 00:00 355 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 30 May 2022 06:00 859 1.9 million
- - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Florida, Bon Terra, United States. This height is estimated for 01/06/2022 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 May 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Bon Terra United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Daytona Beach Shores United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Flagler Beach United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Anastasia United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Villano Beach United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, South Ponte Vedra Beach United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Ponte Vedra Beach United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Jacksonville Beach United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Atlantic Beach United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Amelia City United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Franklintown United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, American Beach United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Fernandina Beach United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Georgia, Greyfield United States  0.5
01/06/2022 18:00 Georgia, Raccoon Bluff United States  0.5
30/05/2022 22:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.4
30/05/2022 22:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.4
30/05/2022 22:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.3
30/05/2022 17:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.3
30/05/2022 23:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.3
30/05/2022 15:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.3
30/05/2022 23:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.3
30/05/2022 16:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.3
30/05/2022 18:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.3
30/05/2022 18:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.3
30/05/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.3
30/05/2022 16:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
30/05/2022 18:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
30/05/2022 18:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
30/05/2022 17:00 Louisiana, North Side United States  0.2
30/05/2022 17:00 Louisiana, English Lookout United States  0.2
30/05/2022 17:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
30/05/2022 14:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
30/05/2022 19:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.2
30/05/2022 17:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
01/06/2022 15:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
30/05/2022 16:00 Mississippi, Bay St Louis United States  0.2
30/05/2022 16:00 Mississippi, Henderson Point United States  0.2
30/05/2022 06:00 Oaxaca, Puerto Angel Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
30/05/2022 18:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
30/05/2022 16:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.2
30/05/2022 18:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.2
30/05/2022 15:00 Mississippi, Pass Christian United States  0.2
30/05/2022 15:00 Mississippi, White Harbor United States  0.2
01/06/2022 16:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 15:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
30/05/2022 01:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 11:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
01/06/2022 15:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
30/05/2022 15:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.2
30/05/2022 14:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.2
30/05/2022 15:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 14:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 14:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.2
29/05/2022 19:00 Oaxaca, Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 16:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 16:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 11:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.2
30/05/2022 14:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Hill Top Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Shingle Hill Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Alto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Orange Hill Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Slave Hill Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Atto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres San Luis Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Obrero Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 10:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Ensenada de Punta Avispa Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 11:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Bocas del Toro, Tobobe Panama  0.2
01/06/2022 12:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 17:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 Limon, Doce Millas Costa Rica  0.2
01/06/2022 12:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.2
29/05/2022 18:00 Oaxaca, Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de Providencia Morris Hill Colombia  0.2
01/06/2022 10:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
01/06/2022 11:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
29/05/2022 20:00 Mississippi, Mississippi City United States  0.2
29/05/2022 20:00 Mississippi, Handsboro United States  0.2
01/06/2022 12:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.2
30/05/2022 14:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
01/06/2022 10:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.2
01/06/2022 11:00 Florida, Live Oak Island United States  0.2
30/05/2022 16:00 Louisiana, Medicant Island Bassa Bassa United States  0.1
29/05/2022 20:00 Mississippi, Edgewater Park United States  0.1
29/05/2022 20:00 Mississippi, Beauvoir United States  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
01/06/2022 10:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.1
30/05/2022 15:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.1
30/05/2022 15:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 10:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 12:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
01/06/2022 10:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
01/06/2022 13:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
01/06/2022 13:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
29/05/2022 18:00 Florida, Bay View United States  0.1
31/05/2022 23:00 Sonora, La Choya Mexico  0.1
30/05/2022 08:00 Alabama, Bellefontaine United States  0.1
01/06/2022 13:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
01/06/2022 13:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
31/05/2022 17:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 , Grand Cayman Battle Ground Cayman Islands  0.1
01/06/2022 13:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
31/05/2022 19:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.1
31/05/2022 19:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
31/05/2022 18:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
30/05/2022 23:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.1
30/05/2022 09:00 Oaxaca, Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Pinar del Rio, Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Pinar del Rio, La Furnia Cuba  0.1
01/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.1
01/06/2022 09:00 Louisiana, West Point United States  0.1
01/06/2022 10:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Baja California Sur, Tripui Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 11:00 Leon, Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Baja California Sur, San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
01/06/2022 11:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
31/05/2022 18:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
31/05/2022 18:00 Baja California Sur, Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Baja California Sur, El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 12:00 Florida, Apalachicola United States  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Baja California Sur, El Tule Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 11:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Big Pine Key Big Pine United States  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Baja California Sur, Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Boca Chica Key Big Coppitt Key United States  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones Leoncillo Panama  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Cudjoe Key United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Summerland Key United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Marathon Shores United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Key Colony Beach United States  0.1
30/05/2022 08:00 Alabama, Bayleys Corner United States  0.1
30/05/2022 08:00 Alabama, Mon Louis United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Lower Matecumbe Key Craig Island United States  0.1
01/06/2022 12:00 Bocas del Toro, Boquita Panama  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Veraguas, Las Caletas Panama  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Veraguas, La Playa Panama  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Veraguas, Las Moradas Panama  0.1
01/06/2022 12:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Duck Key United States  0.1
01/06/2022 12:00 Guanacaste, Puerto San Juanillo Costa Rica  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Upper Matecumbe Key Matecumbe United States  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Veraguas, Punta Calabazal Panama  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones La Pluma Panama  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones Cana Brava Panama  0.1
01/06/2022 17:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones Estero el Bongon Panama  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Sugarloaf Key Pirates Cove United States  0.1
01/06/2022 18:00 Florida, Valhalla United States  0.1
01/06/2022 11:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.1