Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ASANI-22
in India
11 May 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASANI-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Maldives
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (12 May 16:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.7 m 69 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 140 km/h 0.8 m 574 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

140 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 May 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMaldives3,463 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 May 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 May 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 May 2022 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 May 2022 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 May 2022 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 May 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 May 2022 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 May 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 09 May 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 May 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 May 2022 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 May 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 10 May 2022 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 10 May 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 10 May 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 May 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 11 May 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 11 May 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 11 May 2022 18:00 68 -
- - - - - Maldives
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 May 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmChina, India, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Sri Lanka42,774,482
+
China1,283,007 
India7,814,052 
Myanmar609,919 
Bangladesh31,754,037 
Sri Lanka1,313,465 
50-100 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Malaysia, Indonesia137,234,424
+
China43,581,955 
India38,457,469 
Myanmar6,229,070 
Nepal128,441 
Bhutan81,756 
Bangladesh33,951,185 
Vietnam5,628,150 
Laos693,766 
Thailand333,114 
Sri Lanka7,535,329 
Maldives228,324 
Malaysia376,584 
Indonesia9,275 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 May 2022 06:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 May 2022 12:00 178 -
- - - - - Thailand
Blue 3 07 May 2022 18:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 May 2022 00:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 May 2022 06:00 177 -
- - - - - Myanmar
Blue 6 08 May 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 May 2022 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Thailand
Blue 8 09 May 2022 00:00 376 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 09 May 2022 06:00 152 -
- - - - - Myanmar
Blue 10 09 May 2022 12:00 78 -
- - - - - Myanmar, Thailand
Blue 11 09 May 2022 18:00 196 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 May 2022 00:00 253 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 10 May 2022 06:00 161 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 14 10 May 2022 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 15 10 May 2022 18:00 152 -
- - - - - Thailand
Blue 16 11 May 2022 00:00 134 300 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 17 11 May 2022 06:00 77 -
- - - - - India
Blue 18 11 May 2022 12:00 103 -
- - - - - China, India
Blue 19 11 May 2022 18:00 188 42.8 million
- - - - China, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 May 2022 18:00 UTC