Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ASANI-22
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASANI-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (09 May 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.6 m 157 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 140 km/h 0.8 m 574 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

140 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 May 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 May 2022 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 May 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmBangladesh, Myanmar, Thailand, India4,344,875
+
India173 
Myanmar2,369,307 
Bangladesh369,394 
Thailand1,605,999 
50-100 mmChina, Nepal, India, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Vietnam, Sri Lanka, Malaysia75,117,705
+
China11,937,399 
Nepal28,203 
India110,615 
Myanmar16,806,693 
Bangladesh5,620,829 
Laos101,173 
Thailand33,780,948 
Cambodia1,743,139 
Vietnam1,574,040 
Sri Lanka2,004,660 
Malaysia1,410,002 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 May 2022 06:00 421 4.3 million
- - - - China, Nepal, India, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Vietnam, Sri Lanka, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 May 2022 06:00 UTC