Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KAY-22
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KAY-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 10 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (08 Sep 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
Landfall between
08 Sep 2022 15:00 - 08 Sep 2022 21:00

in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 167 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 8.4 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 04 Sep 2022 15:00 157 830 thousand 5 thousand Mexico
Green 2 04 Sep 2022 21:00 157 870 thousand 6 thousand Mexico
Green 3 05 Sep 2022 03:00 157 950 thousand 8 thousand Mexico
Green 4 05 Sep 2022 09:00 167 940 thousand 6 thousand Mexico
Green 5 05 Sep 2022 15:00 167 850 thousand No people Mexico
Green 6 05 Sep 2022 21:00 176 160 thousand No people Mexico
Green 7 06 Sep 2022 03:00 176 410 thousand No people Mexico
Green 8 06 Sep 2022 09:00 185 820 thousand No people Mexico
Green 9 06 Sep 2022 15:00 185 880 thousand No people Mexico
Green 10 06 Sep 2022 21:00 176 870 thousand Few people Mexico
Green 11 07 Sep 2022 03:00 176 1.6 million No people Mexico
Green 12 07 Sep 2022 09:00 167 1.5 million 6 thousand Mexico
Green 13 07 Sep 2022 15:00 176 5.1 million 6 thousand Mexico
Green 14 07 Sep 2022 21:00 157 4.2 million 6 thousand Mexico
Green 15 08 Sep 2022 03:00 148 6.3 million 8 thousand Mexico
Green 16 08 Sep 2022 09:00 139 5.5 million 8 thousand Mexico
Green 17 08 Sep 2022 15:00 139 6.1 million 8 thousand Mexico
Green 18 08 Sep 2022 21:00 120 5.7 million 10 thousand Mexico
Green 19 09 Sep 2022 03:00 102 3.3 million 10 thousand Mexico
Green 20 09 Sep 2022 09:00 93 5.2 million 10 thousand Mexico
Green 21 09 Sep 2022 15:00 83 8.4 million 10 thousand Mexico
Green 22 09 Sep 2022 21:00 65 8.4 million 10 thousand Mexico
Green 23 10 Sep 2022 03:00 65 8.4 million 10 thousand Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 04 Sep 2022 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14, -101.4
GREEN
2 04 Sep 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.8, -102.5
GREEN
3 05 Sep 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.6, -103.8
GREEN
4 05 Sep 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15.7, -105.3
GREEN
5 05 Sep 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15.8, -106.4
GREEN
6 05 Sep 2022 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 15.6, -107.3
GREEN
7 06 Sep 2022 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 16, -108.1
GREEN
8 06 Sep 2022 09:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 17, -108.9
GREEN
9 06 Sep 2022 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 18, -110
GREEN
10 06 Sep 2022 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 18.8, -111 Mexico
GREEN
11 07 Sep 2022 03:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 19.5, -111.7
GREEN
12 07 Sep 2022 09:00 Category 2 157 no people 380000 people 20.2, -112
GREEN
13 07 Sep 2022 15:00 Category 2 167 no people 710000 people 21.1, -112.6
GREEN
14 07 Sep 2022 21:00 Category 2 157 no people 750000 people 22, -113
GREEN
15 08 Sep 2022 03:00 Category 1 148 no people 830000 people 23.2, -113
GREEN
16 08 Sep 2022 09:00 Category 1 139 <1000 people 500000 people 24.5, -113.4
GREEN
17 08 Sep 2022 15:00 Category 1 139 5400 people 420000 people 25.8, -113.8
GREEN
18 08 Sep 2022 21:00 Category 1 120 7800 people 520000 people 27.1, -114.3 Mexico
GREEN
19 09 Sep 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 800000 people 28.4, -115
GREEN
20 09 Sep 2022 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 4.2 million people 29.4, -116
GREEN
21 09 Sep 2022 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 7.3 million people 30.3, -116.7
GREEN
22 09 Sep 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people 31, -118
GREEN
23 10 Sep 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 31.3, -118.9
GREEN
23 10 Sep 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 31.4, -120
GREEN
23 11 Sep 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 31.4, -120.9
GREEN
23 11 Sep 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 31.2, -121.8
GREEN
23 12 Sep 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 30.5, -122.1
GREEN
23 12 Sep 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 29.6, -121.9
GREEN
23 13 Sep 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 29, -121.2
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
United States
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
California United States
Baja California Mexico
Sonora Mexico
Arizona United States
Baja California Sur Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Tijuana Baja California Mexico City 1.4 million people
Ensenada Baja California Mexico City 250000 people
San Diego California United States Major city 1.2 million people
National City California United States City 54000 people
Chula Vista California United States City 170000 people
Spring Valley California United States City 27000 people
La Mesa California United States City 55000 people
El Cajon California United States City 95000 people
Santee California United States City 53000 people
Oceanside California United States City 160000 people
Vista California United States City 90000 people
Escondido California United States City 130000 people
Mexicali Baja California Mexico Major city 600000 people
Isla Natividad Baja California Sur Mexico City -
San Juanico Baja California Sur Mexico City -
Guaymas Sonora Mexico City 100000 people
Villa Constitución Baja California Sur Mexico City -
La Paz Baja California Sur Mexico Major city 170000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Imperial Beach Olf Ream Field NRS 7 Mil. Paved No 5000
North Island NAS Halsey Field NZY 8 Mil. Paved Yes 8000
Parking Lot unknown 0
Turner Field/amphibious Base unknown 0
Ensenada ESE 15 Civ. Paved Yes 4800
San Diego International Lindbergh Fl SAN 5 Civ. Paved Yes 9400
Gen A L Rodriguez International TIJ 152 Civ. Paved Yes 9700
U S Naval Hospital San Diego 61 0
Brown Field Municipal SDM 160 Civ. Paved Yes 7900
Sharp Chula Vista Medical Center 136 0
Mercy Hospital & Medical Center 101 0
Paradise Valley Hospital 35 0
KGTV-10 Parking Lot 61 0
Montgomery Field MYF 129 Civ. Paved Yes 4600
Torrey Pines Corporate Helistop 131 0
Miramar NAS NKX 146 Mil. Paved Yes 12000
John Nichol's Field 149 0
Grossmont Hospital 193 0
Gillespie Field SEE 117 Civ. Paved Yes 5300
Scripps Hospital East County 180 0
McClellan Palomar CLD 100 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
Pomerado Hospital 198 0
Oceanside Municipal OCN 9 0
Tri-city Hospital 79 0
Reider Ranch 809 0
On The Rocks 808 0
Pat Coyle Memorial 183 0
Ramona 425 Civ. Paved Yes 4000
Lake Wohlford Resort 501 0
Blackinton 352 0
Hoag 503 0
Flying T Ranch 762 0
Loma Madera Ranch 1029 0
Hoffman (Private) 945 0
San Quintin SNQ unknown 0
Jacumba 860 0
Rancho Vallecito 512 0
Warner Springs Gliderport 879 0
Hunt's Sky Ranch 704 0
Agua Caliente Springs 372 0
Emory Ranch 146 0
Landells 287 0
Borrego Air Ranch 175 0
Borrego Valley BXS 158 0
Ocotillo 49 0
El Centro Naf NJK -13 Mil. Paved Yes 9500
Johnson Brothers 0 0
Calexico International CXL 1 Civ. Paved No 4500
Imperial County IPL -17 Civ. Paved Yes 5300
Douthitt Strip 14 0
Pioneers Memorial Hospital -30 0
Brawley Municipal BWC -39 Civ. Paved Yes 4400
Mexicali MXL 22 Civ. Paved Yes 8500
Holtville 18 0
San Felipe New SFH 45 Civ. Paved No 4900
San Luis Rio Colorado UAC 15 0
Rolle Airfield 50 0
Somerton 54 0
Checkerboard 59 0
Rancho Santa Ynez 610 0
Yuma Regional Medical Center 61 0
Yuma Mcas Yuma International YUM 65 Civ. Paved Yes 13300
Rancho Santa Ynes 671 0
Isla Cedros 30 0
Punta Penasco PPE 9 Civ. Paved No 4900
Bahia Tortugas 40 0
Bahia de los Angeles North BHL 5 0
Guerrero Negro 18 0
Guerrero Negro GUB 18 0
Puerto Libertad North 5 0
Bahia Kino North 6 0
Abreojos AJS unknown 0
San Ignacio 1 SGM 244 0
Santa Rosalia SRL unknown 0
Punta Chivato Bulge 2 0
Punta Chivato PCV unknown 0
Mulege MUG 61 0
General Jose Maria Yanez International GYM 27 Civ. Paved Yes 7700
Loreto LTO 3 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
Villa Constitucion VIB 43 0
Arroyo Capo 20 0
La Paz 26 0
Leon LAP 21 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
Punta Pescadero 7 0
Punta Colorada PCO unknown 0
Los Cabos International SJD 109 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
Cabo San Lucas 139 0
Isla Socorro 100 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
San Clemente USXMO Wake Island
San Clemente Island Wake Island
El Capitan USELC Wake Island
Rosarito Terminal MXRST Mexico
Tijuana MXTIJ Mexico
Ensenada MXESE Mexico
San Diego USSAN Wake Island
Oceanside USXJX Wake Island
Guadalupe Island Mexico
San Quintin Mexico
San Felipe Mexico
Punta Penasco Mexico
Morro Redondo MXMRE Mexico
Puerto San Bartolome Mexico
Prt Venustiano Carranza Mexico
Tiburon Island Mexico
Santa Rosalia MXSRL Mexico
San Marcos Island MXSMI Mexico
Muleje Mexico
Guaymas MXGYM Mexico
Empalme Mexico
Loreto Mexico
Bahia Salinas Mexico
San Carlos MXSCR Mexico
Puerto Madalena Mexico
San Juan de la Costa MXSJC Mexico
La Paz Mexico
Buenavista Mexico
San Lucas Mexico
San Hose Del Cabo Mexico
Clarion Island Mexico
Roca Partido Island Mexico
Socorro Island Mexico

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Abelardo Tijuana 1937
Sweetwater Main Sweetwater River 1888
Lower Otay Reservoir Savage Otay River 1919
Carrizo Carrizo 1981
Lake Hodges San Dieguito River 1918
Lake Jennings Chet Harritt Quail Can Creek 1962
San Vicente San Vicente Creek 1943
Lake Loveland Sweetwater River 1945
Barrett Cottonwood Creek 1922
Ramona Green Val Road Creek 1988
El Capitan San Diego River 1934
Morena Cottonwood Creek 1912
Sutherland Santa Ysabel Creek 1954
Cuyamaca Boulder Creek 1887
Lake Henshaw Henshaw San Luis Rey River 1923

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Magdalena, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Sep 2022 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (73 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 04 Sep 2022 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.5
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.4
08 Sep 2022 13:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.4
08 Sep 2022 14:00 Quinones Mexico  0.4
08 Sep 2022 13:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.3
08 Sep 2022 15:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
08 Sep 2022 12:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.3
08 Sep 2022 13:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
08 Sep 2022 13:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.3
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.3
08 Sep 2022 13:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.3
08 Sep 2022 13:00 Cunano Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2022 12:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2022 13:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2022 12:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2022 13:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2022 14:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2022 13:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 14:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 12:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 12:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 14:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 14:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 14:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 12:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 10:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 08:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 12:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 13:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 14:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 08:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 05:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 12:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 12:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 12:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 07:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 05:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 08:00 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 09:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 12:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 11:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 11:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 11:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 12:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 12:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 13:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 14:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 14:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 08:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 08:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 10:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2022 15:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1