Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORU-22
in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORU-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population 40 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (23 Sep 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.3 m 118 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 284 km/h 1.5 m 933 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

284 km/h

Up to 1.6 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Philippines42,868 
Tropical StormPhilippines1,562,282 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 32 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 22 Sep 2022 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Sep 2022 00:00 140 40 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPhilippines21,032 
100-250 mmPhilippines1,218,612 
50-100 mmPhilippines1,560,297 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 92 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 22 Sep 2022 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Sep 2022 00:00 444 1.2 million
- - - Philippines




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Guangdong, Tung-li, China. This height is estimated for 23/09/2022 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23/09/2022 15:00 Guangdong, Tung-li China  0.3
22/09/2022 20:00 Ha Tinh, Hoi Thong Vietnam  0.2
24/09/2022 18:00 Fujian, Shihu China  0.2
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Caramay Philippines  0.2
23/09/2022 14:00 Guangdong, Donghai Dao Houhai China  0.2
22/09/2022 22:00 Ha Tinh, Trung Thinh Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 14:00 Guangdong, Naozhou Dao Huangwu China  0.2
24/09/2022 16:00 Fujian, Tantou China  0.2
23/09/2022 04:00 Thanh Hoa, Hoang Xa Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 04:00 Thanh Hoa, Xi Dua Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 14:00 Guangdong, Naozhou Dao Doulongcun China  0.2
23/09/2022 02:00 Guangdong, Shangchuan Dao Dalangwan China  0.2
23/09/2022 04:00 Thanh Hoa, Dot Dong Vietnam  0.2
24/09/2022 21:00 Eastern Samar, Santa Margarita Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 06:00 Quang Ninh, Hoang Chau Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 , Bagatao Island Mualbual Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 16:00 Fujian, Fengwo China  0.1
24/09/2022 16:00 Fujian, Yunlong China  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Kalimantan Timur, Borneo Oelingan Indonesia  0.1
24/09/2022 11:00 Bicol, Barana Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Cheng'anwei China  0.1
23/09/2022 07:00 Nam Dinh, Quan Phuong Trung Trai Vietnam  0.1
23/09/2022 07:00 Nam Dinh, Lien Phu Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Shanghai, Changzing Dao Dongxing China  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Penghu, Chi-pei Tao Chi-pei Taiwan  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Guihulngan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Penghu, Pai-sha Tao Ch'ang-an Taiwan  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 , Tagauayan Island Lo-oc Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Manjuyod Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Calamba Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Ayungon Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Roxas Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Tayasan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Fujian, Fengwei China  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Fujian, Dongshan Dao Chencheng China  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Escalante Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Central Visayas, Bantayan Island Bantayan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Calatrava Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Fujian, Haitan Dao Cao Yu China  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Southern Tagalog, Mangero Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Southern Tagalog, San Andres Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Fujian, Weitou China  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Penghu, Hua-hsu Taiwan  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Zhejiang, Changchuanba China  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Iloilo, Punta Buri Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 , San Antonio Pilar Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Fujian, Hsia-mei China  0.1
24/09/2022 10:00 Quezon, Concepcion Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 09:00 Quang Ninh, Cai Kien Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Tacloban City, Tacloban Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 , Santiago Island Pilar Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 16:00 Fujian, Guleitou China  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Palawan, Chindonan Island Culion Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Guangxi, Yingluo China  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Eastern Visayas, Biliran Island Tucdao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 , Burias Island Madanlog Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 09:00 Cagayan Valley, Fuga Island Sorongan Philippines  0.1
22/09/2022 15:00 Zhejiang, Hsieh-fu China  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 , Agutay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Eastern Visayas, Biliran Island Culaba Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Ilocos, Cabarruyan Island Santiago Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Southern Tagalog, Bondoc Pt Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 , Almagro Island Bacjao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Romblon, Banton Island Lagang Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Fujian, Lianhe China  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Fujian, Nanri Dao Fuye China  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Concepcion Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Ilocos, Cabarruyan Island Tondol Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Northern Samar, Maragat Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Southern Tagalog, Marinduque Balo Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 , Tagapul-an Island Sogud Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 , Palawan Pagauanen Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Southern Tagalog, Sumaguil Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Southern Tagalog, Mindoro Pinamalayan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 , South Gigante Island Gabi Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 11:00 , Fuga Island Poso Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 , Higatangan Island Gigantangan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Southern Tagalog, Mindoro Batingan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Fujian, Wutian China  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 , Batbatan Island Bitoon Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Eastern Visayas, Tanauan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Fujian, Gangkou China  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 , Cobrador Island Cabugaan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Binon-an Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 07:00 Guangxi, Wanwei China  0.1
22/09/2022 19:00 Ha Tinh, Vinh Son Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Cebu, Cebu Island Maya Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Bicol, Pandanan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Southern Tagalog, Marinduque Payte Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 , Guintinua Island Banacboc Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Southern Tagalog, Mindoro Labasan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Southern Tagalog, Mindoro Cawayan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 , Matinloc Island Calmung Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Southern Tagalog, Polillo Island Bisliang Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Bicol, Virac Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 , Dalahican Island Pandanan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Zhejiang, Cheng-chia-tai China  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Batangas, Mabini Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 14:00 Guangdong, Rudong China  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Pangasinan, Nabaul Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Southern Tagalog, Navotas Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 , Mauban Island Calamias Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 09:00 , Saipan Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Batangas, Bucal Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Southern Tagalog, Sibuyan Island Cajidiocan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 06:00 Guangxi, Bailong China  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 , Marcaban Island Gamao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Bicol, Colongcogong Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 , Ponson Island Pilar Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Eastern Visayas, Rizal Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Ilocos, Panasgasan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Central Visayas, Bantayan Island Madridejos Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Fujian, Shicheng China  0.1
24/09/2022 09:00 , Saipan Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 , Palasan Island Abucay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Eastern Visayas, Merida Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Poro Island Puertobello Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Batangas, Pajo Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Carles Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Dipnay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Sibaltan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Southern Tagalog, Tablas Island Calagonsao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Bicol, Bagalay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Dingalan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Central Luzon, Samal Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Eastern Visayas, Puertobello Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Southern Tagalog, Tablas Island Nipa Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 16:00 Central Luzon, Abucay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Bicol, Lamaoan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Danao City, Cebu Island Danao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 , Bulusan Bulalacao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Cebu Island Carmen Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 09:00 , Saipan Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Cebu Island Catmon Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 16:00 Southern Tagalog, Cabra Island Looc Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Southern Tagalog, Dumaran Island Bacao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Fujian, Meizhou Dao Meizhou China  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Bicol, Adiagnao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Bicol, Tiwi Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Cebu Island Compostela Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, San Francisco Island Unidos Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Bicol, Leyte Island Linao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Bicol, Leyte Island Rapu Rapu Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Babuyan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 10:00 Southern Tagalog, Diniyog Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Southern Tagalog, Tablas Island Tabugon Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Cebu Island Borbon Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Cebu Island Tindog Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Zhejiang, Hsing-hsing-chen China  0.1
24/09/2022 16:00 , Ambil Island Bocboc Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Eastern Visayas, Cagamotan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Eastern Visayas, Gamay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Southern Tagalog, Mindoro Ignonoc Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Eastern Visayas, Sila Pt Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Northern Samar, Apis Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 , Matarbis Canipo Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Northern Samar, Lapinig Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 , Pamalican Island Manamoc Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Eastern Visayas, Alugan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Eastern Visayas, Dolores Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Lapu-Lapu City, Mactan Island Punta Engana Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Eastern Samar, San Policarpo Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Fujian, Pinghai China  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Fujian, Gaoshan China  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Fujian, Shijing China  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Guangdong, Liusha China  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Fujian, Sansha China  0.0
24/09/2022 14:00 Zhejiang, Beilong China  0.0
24/09/2022 15:00 Zhejiang, Litang China  0.0
24/09/2022 15:00 Zhejiang, Sha-fan-chieh China  0.0
24/09/2022 17:00 Zhejiang, Dai Shan Gaoting China  0.0
24/09/2022 16:00 , Dachu Shan Tiantu China  0.0
24/09/2022 16:00 , Fangang China  0.0
24/09/2022 16:00 Zhejiang, T'ien-hou-kung China  0.0
24/09/2022 15:00 Zhejiang, Nan 'ao China  0.0
24/09/2022 15:00 , Sheng Shan Shengshan China  0.0
24/09/2022 14:00 Zhejiang, Yuhuan Dao Kanmen China  0.0
24/09/2022 13:00 Zhejiang, Lingmen China  0.0