Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORU-22
in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORU-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Taiwan, Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (22 Sep 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.4 m 169 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 209 km/h 1.2 m 618 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

209 km/h

Up to 1.6 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTaiwan, Philippines1,585,835
+
Taiwan695,732 
Philippines890,102 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 22 Sep 2022 18:00 119 -
- - - - - Taiwan, Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmVietnam463 
100-250 mmJapan, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Philippines, Thailand, Northern Mariana Islands, Cambodia, Micronesia6,361,453
+
Japan4,772 
India133,736 
Myanmar4,234 
Vietnam5,305,198 
Laos84,189 
Thailand42,431 
Philippines724,523 
Northern Mariana Islands2,567 
Cambodia50,772 
Micronesia9,027 
50-100 mmJapan, China, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands, Cambodia, Guam, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia, Indonesia81,295,101
+
Japan214,269 
China1,935,455 
India3,472,532 
Myanmar2,418,692 
Vietnam26,214,582 
Laos1,146,407 
Thailand33,625,260 
Philippines5,318,877 
Northern Mariana Islands1,162 
Cambodia5,066,780 
Guam169,884 
Micronesia2,491 
Palau20,144 
Malaysia499,738 
Indonesia1,188,819 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 52 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 67 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 138 20 thousand
- - - - Japan, Thailand
Blue 4 22 Sep 2022 18:00 269 6.4 million
- - - Japan, China, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands, Cambodia, Guam, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Guangdong, Tung-li, China. This height is estimated for 23/09/2022 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Tung-li China  0.3
23/09/2022 10:00 Thanh Hoa, Hoang Xa Vietnam  0.3
23/09/2022 10:00 Thanh Hoa, Xi Dua Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 11:00 Thanh Hoa, Dot Dong Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 10:00 Ha Tinh, Hoi Thong Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Donghai Dao Houhai China  0.2
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Naozhou Dao Huangwu China  0.2
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Naozhou Dao Doulongcun China  0.2
24/09/2022 22:00 Guangdong, Cheng'anwei China  0.2
23/09/2022 10:00 Nam Dinh, Quan Phuong Trung Trai Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 10:00 Nam Dinh, Lien Phu Vietnam  0.2
22/09/2022 16:00 Zhejiang, Hsieh-fu China  0.2
23/09/2022 09:00 Guangdong, Shangchuan Dao Dalangwan China  0.2
23/09/2022 12:00 Ha Tinh, Trung Thinh Vietnam  0.2
24/09/2022 12:00 Fujian, Shihu China  0.2
22/09/2022 21:00 Fujian, Tantou China  0.2
24/09/2022 13:00 Quezon, Concepcion Philippines  0.2
24/09/2022 13:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Manjuyod Philippines  0.2
24/09/2022 13:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Ayungon Philippines  0.2
24/09/2022 13:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Tayasan Philippines  0.2
24/09/2022 14:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Calatrava Philippines  0.2
24/09/2022 14:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Escalante Philippines  0.2
24/09/2022 13:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Guihulngan Philippines  0.2
24/09/2022 13:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Calamba Philippines  0.2
24/09/2022 12:00 Quang Ninh, Hoang Chau Vietnam  0.2
24/09/2022 13:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Central Visayas, Bantayan Island Bantayan Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Rudong China  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Santouzui China  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Hsi-t'ou China  0.1
22/09/2022 21:00 Fujian, Fengwo China  0.1
22/09/2022 21:00 Fujian, Yunlong China  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Ilocos, Cabarruyan Island Santiago Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Penghu, Pai-sha Tao Ch'ang-an Taiwan  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Southern Tagalog, Polillo Island Bisliang Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 06:00 Trat, Ban Pak Khlong Tha Luan Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 13:00 Ca Mau, Xom Rach Tau Vietnam  0.1
22/09/2022 17:00 Zhejiang, Changchuanba China  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 , Bagatao Island Mualbual Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 11:00 Ha Tinh, Vinh Son Vietnam  0.1
23/09/2022 06:00 Trat, Ban Ao Cho Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 , Mauban Island Calamias Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 , Palasan Island Abucay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 02:00 Iloilo, Punta Buri Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Concepcion Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Tacloban City, Tacloban Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Fujian, Lianhe China  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Central Visayas, Bantayan Island Madridejos Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 , Batbatan Island Bitoon Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Binon-an Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Cebu, Cebu Island Maya Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Fujian, Dongshan Dao Chencheng China  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Pak Khlong Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Hua Hin Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 , Guintinua Island Banacboc Philippines  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Kalimantan Timur, Borneo Oelingan Indonesia  0.1
23/09/2022 22:00 Macau SAR, Taipa Macau (China)  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 , Tagauayan Island Lo-oc Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 22:00 Krabi, Ban Khlong Sai Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Quang Tri, Mui Lay Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Central Luzon, Samal Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 12:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 , Santiago Island Pilar Philippines  0.1
22/09/2022 17:00 Mon, Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 , Palawan Pagauanen Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 12:00 , South Gigante Island Gabi Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 08:00 Quang Ninh, Cai Kien Vietnam  0.1
22/09/2022 21:00 Satun, Bagan Tohit Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 , Matinloc Island Calmung Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Ilocos, Cabarruyan Island Tondol Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 11:00 Central Luzon, Abucay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Rayong, Ban Phra La Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Rayong, Ban Ko Kok Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 12:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Carles Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Chon Buri, Ko Si Chang Ban Si Racha Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Hsia-mei China  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Eastern Visayas, Tanauan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Palawan, Chindonan Island Culion Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Guangdong, Huanglong China  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Ilocos, Panasgasan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Guangdong, Aotou China  0.1
23/09/2022 13:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Pangasinan, Nabaul Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 05:00 Koh Kong, Bang Krassop Cambodia  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 , Higatangan Island Gigantangan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 12:00 Bicol, Barana Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Macau SAR, Coloane Macau (China)  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Eastern Visayas, Biliran Island Culaba Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Quang Tri, Thon My Thuy Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Rayong, Ban Nong Mapring Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Guleitou China  0.1
24/09/2022 10:00 Tanintharyi, Kawthaung Myanmar  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Chanthaburi, Ban Ta Lian Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Navotas Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 Eastern Visayas, Biliran Island Tucdao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 , Agutay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Batangas, Bucal Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Caramay Philippines  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Southern Tagalog, Mangero Philippines  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Southern Tagalog, San Andres Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Marinduque Payte Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Central Visayas, Cebu Island Tindog Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 , Almagro Island Bacjao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 02:00 Yangon, Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 , Dalahican Island Pandanan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Gangkou China  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Batangas, Mabini Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Sumaguil Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 , San Antonio Pilar Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 , Tagapul-an Island Sogud Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Fujian, Shijing China  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Southern Tagalog, Cabra Island Looc Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 , Ambil Island Bocboc Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Wutian China  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Guangxi, Yingluo China  0.1
22/09/2022 14:00 Ben Tre, Ap Phu My Vietnam  0.1
22/09/2022 19:00 Zhejiang, Cheng-chia-tai China  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Surat Thani, Ban Tha Krachai Thailand  0.1
22/09/2022 10:00 Fujian, Fengwei China  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Chumphon, Ban Bang Man Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Weitou China  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Liusha China  0.1
22/09/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Hsing-hsing-chen China  0.1
23/09/2022 08:00 Chumphon, Ban Choeng Kra Thailand  0.1
22/09/2022 21:00 Fujian, Shicheng China  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Nanri Dao Fuye China  0.0
22/09/2022 21:00 Fujian, Meizhou Dao Meizhou China  0.0
22/09/2022 22:00 Fujian, Gaoshan China  0.0
22/09/2022 21:00 Fujian, Pinghai China  0.0
22/09/2022 19:00 Fujian, Sansha China  0.0
24/09/2022 22:00 Zhejiang, Dai Shan Gaoting China  0.0
22/09/2022 19:00 Zhejiang, Sha-fan-chieh China  0.0
24/09/2022 21:00 Zhejiang, Litang China  0.0
24/09/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Beilong China  0.0
24/09/2022 22:00 , Dachu Shan Tiantu China  0.0
24/09/2022 17:00 Zhejiang, Lingmen China  0.0
24/09/2022 22:00 Zhejiang, T'ien-hou-kung China  0.0
24/09/2022 22:00 , Fangang China  0.0
24/09/2022 22:00 , Sheng Shan Shengshan China  0.0
24/09/2022 21:00 Zhejiang, Nan 'ao China  0.0
22/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Yuhuan Dao Kanmen China