Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan
12 Sep 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan, Russia, China
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (12 Sep 19:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 126 km/h 0.7 m 134 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 2.1 m 570 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan, Russia, China20,377,254
+
Japan151,337 
Russia5,958 
China20,219,957 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 140 -
- - - - - Japan, Russia, China
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

570 mm

Up to 60.2 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmChina6,165,696 
100-250 mmChina, Philippines54,061,056
+
China53,983,532 
Philippines77,523 
50-100 mmChina, South Korea, Japan, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, Guam, Micronesia, Malaysia80,443,947
+
China76,299,589 
South Korea675,228 
Japan8,054 
Northern Mariana Islands55,070 
Philippines3,234,762 
Guam169,884 
Micronesia1,166 
Malaysia191 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 529 60.2 million
- - - China, South Korea, Japan, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, Guam, Micronesia, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC