Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EARL-22
in Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bermuda, Anguilla, Virgin Islands British, Antigua and Barbuda, Virgin Islands U.S., Puerto Rico, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
05 Sep 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EARL-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (08 Sep 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Montserrat)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 104 km/h 0.5 m 309 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 126 km/h 0.5 m 562 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

126 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 03 Sep 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 03 Sep 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 04 Sep 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 04 Sep 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 05 Sep 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmVenezuela, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia507,697
+
Colombia488,865 
Venezuela18,111 
Costa Rica198 
Panama522 
50-100 mmUnited States, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama, Guyana13,224,717
+
United States7,484,625 
Dominican Republic9,957 
Puerto Rico1,168 
Colombia5,069,653 
Venezuela392,288 
Costa Rica74,936 
Panama192,087 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Sep 2022 12:00 96 -
- - - - - Guadeloupe, Colombia
Blue 2 03 Sep 2022 00:00 110 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 3 03 Sep 2022 12:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 04 Sep 2022 00:00 163 20 thousand
- - - - Venezuela, Colombia
Blue 5 04 Sep 2022 12:00 341 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 6 05 Sep 2022 00:00 382 510 thousand
- - - - United States, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Panama, Guyana




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC